Armenios en Turquía
De Wikipedia, la enciclopedia libre
Los armenios en Turquía (en turco:Türkiye Ermenileri, en armenio:Estambul Ermenileri, el último de los cuales significa armenio de Estambul) tienen una población estimada que fluctúa entre 40.000 a 70.000 (1995).[1] [2] La mayoría está concentrada alrededor de Estambul, en Turquía y profesan la fe apostólica armenia. Los armenios financian sus propios periódicos y escuelas.
Historia
Artículo principal: Armenios en el Imperio Otomano
Los armenios que viven en Turquía son un remanente de una, alguna vez, gran comunidad al interior del Imperio Otomano. Durante el Imperio Otomano, fueron activos en campos como los negocios, así como los griegos y los judíos.[3] Los estimados referidos a la Población armenia otomana en la década previa a la Primera Guerra Mundial fluctúan en un rango entre 1,5 y 2,5 millones.
Para fines del siglo XIX, la pobreza y tensiones étnicas provocaron la emigración de unos 100.000 armenios a Europa y al continente americano. Entre 1894 y 1997, al menos 100.000 armenios fueron asesinados durante las masacres hamidianas. Posteriores masacres en 1909 causaron la muerte de un estimado de 20.000 a 30.000 armenios. Siguió el Genocidio armenio en 1915, durante el cual el gobierno otomano deportó a más de un millón y medio de armenios (cerca al 75% de toda la población armenia en el Imperio Otomano en 1915). Muchos murieron, mientras que alrededor de 300.000 fueron adoptados o se casaron con turcos y kurdos que conocieron en el camino.[4] [5] Muchos de los sobrevivientes terminaron en el norte de Siria y algunos regresaron a sus hogares en Turquía al final de la guerra.
Según la embajada armenia en Canadá,[6]
El genocidio, como hemos visto, destruyó el oeste de Armenia y varios otros centros armenios en Turquía. Para la Segunda Guerra Mundial, Constantinopla o Estambul fue el único centro urbano con una presencia armenia. En 1945, un impuesto predial arbitrario sobre las minorías empobreció a muchos hombres de negocios griegos y armenios. Diez años más tarde, las turbas saquearon y quemaron negocios griegos y armenios en Estambul. En la actualidad, hay unos 75.000 armenios en Turquía, la mayoría de los cuales viven en Estambul, donde las condiciones, a pesar de las presiones culturales y ocasionales actos hostiles, no son tan desfavorables como uno podría imaginar. Veinte escuelas, unos tres docenas de iglesias y un hospital mantienen una fuerte identidad armenia. Varios periódicos armenios, incluyendo el diario Marmara continúan siendo publicados y las organizaciones armenias se encargan de colectar donaciones y auspiciar actividades culturales. El patriarca armenio es también invitado a las ceremonias del estado turco. Los problemas más importantes incluyen la falta de un seminario, instituciones armenias de educación superior y asimilación lingüística.
En el periodo inmediato posterior a la guerra, las acciones militares llevadas a cabo por fuerzas nacionalistas turcas al sur de Turquía llevaron a la muerte de decenas de miles de armenios y cientos de miles de refugiados armenios. Las deportaciones masivas de los armenios sobrevivientes de Turquía continuaron a lo largo de la década de 1920, otros se fueron para huir de la pobreza o de la discriminación.
Población
Véase también: Demografía de Turquía
La cantidad de personas de origen armenio que viven actualmente en Turquía es mayor que el número oficial indicado, el mismo que comprende armenios como por la definición de una minoría cristiana (ekalliyet). Durante el Genocidio Armenio, muchos huérfanos armenios fueron adoptados por familias musulmanas locales, quienes algunas veces cambiaban sus nombres y los convertían al Islam. Una fuente cita 300.000,[4] pero otro análisis considera que esta cifra está sobredimensionada, inclinándose hacia unos 63.000, la figura citada en el Informe de 1921 del Patriarca Armenio de Constantinopla al Departamento de Estado de los Estados Unidos.[7]
Cuando los trabajadores de socorro y los armenios supervivientes empezaron a buscar y demandaban el retorno de estos huérfanos armenios tres la Primera Guerra Mundial, solo un pequeño porcentaje fue encontrado y vuelto a reunir, mientras que otros continuaron viviendo como musulmanes. Además, algunas familias armenias se habían convertido al Islam para escapar del genocidio. Debido a ello, en la actualidad, hay un número desconocido de personas de origen armenio en Turquía que no son conscientes de sus ancestros, así como alrededor de 100.000 armenios "clandestinos", denominados "cripto-cristianos".[8]
Según un artículo escrito por el columnista de Zaman, Erhan Başyurt, İbrahim Ethem Atnur de la Universidad de Atatürk alega que el Estado está coludido con el Patriarcado para incrementar artificialmente la población armenia al sumar huérfanos turcos como si fueran armenios.[9] En la década de 1960, algunas de estas familias se convirtieron de nuevo al Cristianismo y cambiaron sus nombres.
El periodista turco de origen armenio Hrant Dink sostuvo que la población actual de alrededor de 50.000 armenios es la mitad de la que fue hace ochenta años, como resultado de un intento deliberado de reducir a las minorías, durante el periodo de gobierno del Partido Único de la República de Turquía.[10]
Actualmente, entre 40.000[11] y 70.000[12] armenios originarios de Armenia trabajan en Turquía, muchas veces de manera ilegal.
Véase también
Hamshenis (en turco: Hemşinliler, en armenio: Համշենի) es un grupo étnico de la región del Mar Negro de Turquía. Son generalmente musulmanes suníes.
Hay dos grupos principales de Hamshenis:
El Baş Hemşin (grupo occidental) reside en las aldeas montañosas en la provincia de Rize, abundante en los distritos de Çamlıhemşin y de Hemşin.
Hopa Hemşin (grupo del este) toma su nombre del distrito de Hopa, abundante en ese distrito y alrededor de la ciudad de Kemalpaşa, este grupo conforman a la mayoría de la población. Una comunidad pequeña de este grupo también vive en Kazajistán, donde se exiliaron de Georgia durante la era stalinista.
Existen diferencias importantes en ambos grupos. La diferencia principal es lingüística; el grupo occidental habla un dialecto propio de las lenguas túrquicas, en cambio, el del este habla un dialecto antiguo del armenio conocida como Homshetsi ("la lengua de Hamshen").
Actualmente existe un renacimiento cultural entre el grupo del este.
Miguel Angel Nalpatian(1942).- Mar del Plata.- Buenos Aires.- Rca Argentina.-
viernes, 16 de octubre de 2009
jueves, 15 de octubre de 2009
RIGHTLY SO
Editorial RIGHTLY SO by Jean Ipdjian
During the recent debate regarding the infamous Protocols, which were finally somehow signed on Saturday in one of the halls of the University of Zurich in Zurich, Switzerland and under the supervision and watchful eyes of Mrs. Hilary Clinton fulfilling the role of the almighty overseer, an important point was raised by a number of people as to whether diasporan Armenians had the right to “interfere” in the affairs of the Republic of Armenia, as they are not nationals of that State. Technically, the president of Armenia and the members of the parliament in that country are only responsible to the people of their country who have lawfully or otherwise elected them to their office. The issue here of course is not the manner in which they were elected nor is it whether the elections are fair or any other such considerations. Armenia is one of the countries in the world where there are more ethnic Armenians living outside Armenia, generally referred to as the Diaspora, than there are in Armenia itself. And in difference to other such cases in the world, diasporan Armenians whatever their nationality and wherever they happen to live, have very close spiritual links to that, to their mother country, Armenia. Even during Soviet times this bond, this spiritual and moral bond was considered to be so important that it was carefully nurtured to grow and prosper. The Soviets had even created a special department whose job was the management and administration of this bond. In the last years of the Soviet Union, when Armenia was hit by a devastating earthquake which destroyed hundreds of villages, tens of towns, most of the city of then Leninakan, which had left hundreds of thousands of people homeless, the then authorities had amply harvested the result of their efforts by the unprecedented drive of aid that poured into the country from Armenian communities all over the world and from countries who knew of Armenia and its plight mainly because of their Armenian communities. Later on, during the war of independence of the Armenian enclave of Nagorno-Karabagh - Artsakh in Armenian - the same kind of assistance was readily available from the Diaspora and happily accepted.Until the last very few months there was not a speech uttered by ant official whether from the Armenian government, or from organisations based in Armenian nor from the Diaspora where the need to further strengthen Armenia-Diaspora ties were not stressed. And rightly so. Rightly so, because the absolute majority of Armenians both in Armenia and the Diaspora had the illusion that their fate and long-term wellbeing hinged on that bond and relationship, since one of the most important characteristics of the majority of Armenians is the preservation of their national identity, the perseverance of their ethnicity as long as possible with the utopian aim of one day seeing the rest of their motherland freed and returned to them where they would eventually end up living. Today this ideal seems utopian. Earlier I used that word consciously, because if a mere twenty years ago someone had suggested that today we were going to debate whether the independent Republic of Armenia should sign a treaty or not, he would have been considered a hopeless dreamer. Rightly so, because a century ago our nation was subjected to the horrors of the Genocide, whose international recognition as Genocide was actively sought for by Armenian organisations in the Diaspora and till the last change of government in Armenia was one of the main objects of her foreign policy. Therefore, the question whether diasporan Armenians have the right to interfere in whether such a momentous agreement is entered into or not goes beyond technicalities. The signing of the Protocols as they stand today do not concern only the Republic of Armenia and her inhabitants, but it concerns the whole of the Armenian nation in its entirety regardless of nationality and residence. Armenians in Diaspora have that right, because they are the result of the occupation of their homeland by Turkey, because they are the result of the persecution and Genocide committed by that country and because Armenia is part of their homeland. And rightly so. London - 2009
Miguel Angel Nalpatian(1942).- Mar del Plata.- Buenos Aires.- Rca Argentina.-
During the recent debate regarding the infamous Protocols, which were finally somehow signed on Saturday in one of the halls of the University of Zurich in Zurich, Switzerland and under the supervision and watchful eyes of Mrs. Hilary Clinton fulfilling the role of the almighty overseer, an important point was raised by a number of people as to whether diasporan Armenians had the right to “interfere” in the affairs of the Republic of Armenia, as they are not nationals of that State. Technically, the president of Armenia and the members of the parliament in that country are only responsible to the people of their country who have lawfully or otherwise elected them to their office. The issue here of course is not the manner in which they were elected nor is it whether the elections are fair or any other such considerations. Armenia is one of the countries in the world where there are more ethnic Armenians living outside Armenia, generally referred to as the Diaspora, than there are in Armenia itself. And in difference to other such cases in the world, diasporan Armenians whatever their nationality and wherever they happen to live, have very close spiritual links to that, to their mother country, Armenia. Even during Soviet times this bond, this spiritual and moral bond was considered to be so important that it was carefully nurtured to grow and prosper. The Soviets had even created a special department whose job was the management and administration of this bond. In the last years of the Soviet Union, when Armenia was hit by a devastating earthquake which destroyed hundreds of villages, tens of towns, most of the city of then Leninakan, which had left hundreds of thousands of people homeless, the then authorities had amply harvested the result of their efforts by the unprecedented drive of aid that poured into the country from Armenian communities all over the world and from countries who knew of Armenia and its plight mainly because of their Armenian communities. Later on, during the war of independence of the Armenian enclave of Nagorno-Karabagh - Artsakh in Armenian - the same kind of assistance was readily available from the Diaspora and happily accepted.Until the last very few months there was not a speech uttered by ant official whether from the Armenian government, or from organisations based in Armenian nor from the Diaspora where the need to further strengthen Armenia-Diaspora ties were not stressed. And rightly so. Rightly so, because the absolute majority of Armenians both in Armenia and the Diaspora had the illusion that their fate and long-term wellbeing hinged on that bond and relationship, since one of the most important characteristics of the majority of Armenians is the preservation of their national identity, the perseverance of their ethnicity as long as possible with the utopian aim of one day seeing the rest of their motherland freed and returned to them where they would eventually end up living. Today this ideal seems utopian. Earlier I used that word consciously, because if a mere twenty years ago someone had suggested that today we were going to debate whether the independent Republic of Armenia should sign a treaty or not, he would have been considered a hopeless dreamer. Rightly so, because a century ago our nation was subjected to the horrors of the Genocide, whose international recognition as Genocide was actively sought for by Armenian organisations in the Diaspora and till the last change of government in Armenia was one of the main objects of her foreign policy. Therefore, the question whether diasporan Armenians have the right to interfere in whether such a momentous agreement is entered into or not goes beyond technicalities. The signing of the Protocols as they stand today do not concern only the Republic of Armenia and her inhabitants, but it concerns the whole of the Armenian nation in its entirety regardless of nationality and residence. Armenians in Diaspora have that right, because they are the result of the occupation of their homeland by Turkey, because they are the result of the persecution and Genocide committed by that country and because Armenia is part of their homeland. And rightly so. London - 2009
Miguel Angel Nalpatian(1942).- Mar del Plata.- Buenos Aires.- Rca Argentina.-
EDITORIAL DE ARMENIAREBELDE
jueves 15 de octubre de 2009COMPATRIOTAS; LLEGO EL MOMENTO DE PONER BLANCO SOBRE NEGRO, LA MAYORIA DE LOS SITIOS ( POR NO DECIR TODOS ), QUE MUESTRAN OCUPARSE, PREOCUPARSE Y SACRIFICARSE POR LA CUESTION Y LA CAUSA ARMENIA, SON SECTORIZADOS Y DISCRETAMENTE REGULATORIOS DE LOS COMENTARIOS Y LAS OPINIONES QUE NO SEAN AFINES A SUS CONSIGNAS;
" NINGUNO CANALIZA ACCIONES CONCRETAS, MASIVAS Y CONTINUAS CORRECTAMENTE ORGANIZADAS Y DIRIGIDAS "; LAS PROTESTAS EMITIDAS EN CUALQUIERA DE ESTOS SITIOS " SON TOTALMENTE INCONDUCENTES " AUNQUE NOS DIGAN Y PENSEMOS LO CONTRARIO.- LAS ACCIONES REALES Y CONCRETAS DEBEMOS REALIZARLAS Y FIRMARLAS PERSONALMENTE EN LOS SITIOS CORRESPONDIENTES.- Debemos ocuparnos, empeñarnos y comprometernos en buscar los sitios oficiales donde realizar las acciones directas y concretas ( seguros de que llegan ), utilizando las herramientas de Google y Yahoo; Alli encontramos todo lo necesarios para emitir nuestras inquietudes y sugerencias, recibiendo sus respuestas en nuestros Email ( que en esos sitios nos ocultan, niegan o nunca llegan ).- Saludos; Miguel Angel Nalpatian(1942).- Mar del Plata.- Buenos Aires.- Rca Argentina.- http://www.president.am/ http://www.whitehouse.gov/ etc. etc.-
martes, 13 de octubre de 2009
Opinion de Ian por Aram Barseghian
14 / 10 / 2009.- Estimado Sr. Administrador de Ian Dn. Aram Barseghian; Su capitulacion respecto a este hecho es cierta y conocida y se esperaba que tarde o temprano sucederia a partir de la segunda Independencia; Lo que nadie dijo ni dice ni dira desde la Diaspora es,: " en un marco de actualidad " ¿¿¿ cual es el modelo politico, geopolitico y economico pretendido por nosotros que deberia seguir la Rca de Armenia ???.- Todo lo demas que rodee al realismo de su opinion, es lirismo y sentimentalismo que deberemos plasmar en Centros de Residentes de Familiares Diasporicos de Descendientes de Armenios Emigrados por el Genocidio Perpetrado por los Turcos Otomanos en 1915 / 1923; Y que deberemos recordar los 24 de Abril y 18 de Mayo, transmitiendo esto al mundo y a quienes nos sucedan.- Gracias.- Miguel Angel Nalpatian(1942).- Mar del Plata.- Buenos Aires.- Rca Argentina.-
13 de OCTUBRE 2009Un cambio geopolítico en el Cáucaso y en nuestra Diáspora
Fuente Nota de Opinión, Editorial de IAN.
Escribe Aram Barceghian
Un fuerte golpe a nuestra Identidad
Comencemos por casa.
Nadie puede negar que los Protocolos nos inflingen un verdadero golpe a la identidad de los armenios diasporeanos.La enorme Diáspora post genocidio cuyo mito convocante ha sido desde siempre, la lucha por la justicia, el reconocimiento del Genocidio de 1915 y la devolución de los territorios armenios usurpados por Turquía, sufre una crisis de dimensiones inciertas con la firma de los protocolos.¿Es posible que los protocolos tengan entre otros objetivos golpear en el corazón mismo de la Diáspora armenia?Hemos visto lo sucedido estos días de revuelo y agitación. Hay unos pocos pero representativos dirigentes comunitarios a nivel mundial y personalidades que apoyaron públicamente la firma de los protocolos.Y están los otros, bastantes más, los que salieron a combatir los protocolos, reclamándole al Presidente de Armenia en su reciente gira por las comunidades armenias el mundo, que no acepte las precondiciones turcas, acusando de traidores a los primeros.Hay quienes se lamentan por que ven en estos protocolos el tiro de gracia a la Cuestión Armenia. Si Armenia reconoce las actuales fronteras con Turquía, renuncia a la Armenia occidental en manos turcas, dicen. Y si además se crea una comisión de estudio para “analizar imparcialmente” lo sucedido en 1915, habremos retrocedido 50 años de lucha ya que un hecho aceptado internacionalmente como “Genocidio Armenio”, es puesto en duda por los mismos armenios! Algo impensable para la mayoría de nosotros, hace solo unos meses atrás.Algunos opinan que si la Diáspora pierde su mito convocante o sea su causa, pierde su identidad y su fuerza comenzará a enflaquecer. Una Diáspora mas debil, ¿significará una Armenia mas debil?.¿Es posible que los protocolos tengan también por objetivo crear una cuña entre Armenia y su Diáspora?.Hemos visto en estos días que hay voces que hablan de la “traición” del Presidente de Armenia, y de que la Diáspora debiera retirarle su apoyo al país de los armenios.Y ¿A quien le sirve este sombrío escenario?De algo no quedan dudas, a los descendientes de armenios nos están quitando las vías por las que circulamos durante mas de 9 décadas.¿Armenia vuelve a estar bajo el dominio turco?El presidente Sarkisian dijo el día de la firma en un discurso público, que “Armenia no tiene otra alternativa” que firmar estos protocolos.Si uno observa el video de la reunión del Comité de Seguridad de Armenia, que decide por unanimidad avanzar con los protocolos, - en donde entre otros se encontraba nuestro Katolicós Karekin II- puede darse una idea de lo que está pasando con la dirigencia armenia al ver sus rostros de preocupación y sus gestos de nerviosismo. A mi personalmente me agustió ver esto.Creo que la dirigencia armenia ve enormes riesgos en este proceso, pero no tiene mas remedio que seguirlo. Particularmente no tengo dudas que estos protocolos les fueron impuestos a Armenia sin más, mas allá de la posible inoperancia (denunciada por algunas fuerzas opositoras) del Ministerio de Rel.Exteriores armenio. Escuchar al ex Ministro de Rel. Exteriores Vartán Oskanian, confirman esta idea.La dirigencia de la República (será para salvar su imagen acaso) afirma que Armenia ha comenzado con este proceso y que necesita abrir sus fronteras para “comerciar” mas eficientemente… Y deja entrever que los turcos no son los de antes, han cambiado, vivimos otros tiempos… Argumento que es apoyado por algunos grupos.Y ¿Cuáles son los riesgos de esta “apertura comercial”?Enormes:1) Que la infinitamente mas grande economía turca se apodere de los mercados, las empresas y comercios de Armenia, 2) que los pequeños productores armenios quiebren por falta de escala productiva, 3) que los capitales turcos “compren” las tierras armenias, los edificios emblemáticos... etc.Si esto sucede, Armenia habrá perdido su independencia política y diplomática.Recordemos que los intereses del Estado turco y los intereses de los armenios son contrapuestos. Mientras Turquía no reconozca el Genocidio, fue es y será una amenaza constante para Armenia.¿Es posible que los protocolos tengan por objeto poner nuevamente bajo el dominio turco a la nación armenia?La Guerra de Georgia, las rutas energéticas, Rusia, Turquía y la Cuestión de Nagorno KarabajLo que no se dice siempre es la verdad.Las energía mueve al mundo. Especialmente a las grandes potencias.De momento, el oleoducto BTC (Azerbaiján, Georgia y Turquía) es la pieza más importante de una serie de proyectos energéticos (petróleo y gas) que han de pasar por el cáucaso. Esta energía es importante para Europa e incluso Israel.Hasta la guerra Ruso-Georgiana de 2008 por Osetia del Sur y Abjasia, Georgia era considerada una pieza clave en esta ruta, eludiendo a Armenia, aliada de Rusia .Rusia era la principal contrincante del proyecto BTC, ya que cuenta con su propio oleoducto y gasoducto que llega a Europa directamente.Luego de la guerra, Georgia ha quedado en evidencia como un país que es un compendio de problemas más que de soluciones: inestabilidad política, guerra civil y separatismos. Y eso no es lo que busca el negocio de la energía.La hábil diplomacia turca convierte a Rusia en socia y deja a los EEUU fuera del cáucaso. Turquía y Rusia consideran el cáucaso como sus zonas de influencia y logran cooperar en los proyectos de energía.Por eso los armenios sienten “que Rusia les soltó la mano”. En realidad una vez mas, queda demostrada en la historia que los acuerdos ruso-turcos tienen un costo alto para los armenios. Turquía ha impuesto todas sus precondiciones a los armenios y Rusia las ha apoyado.Nagorno-KarabajNo quedan dudas que la Cuestión de Karabaj debe llegar a un acuerdo para poder materializarse este plan.Aquí existe el otro riesgo para la nación armenia. Mucha presión en varios frentes a la vez podría hacer que los armenios deban ceder una vez más en sus derechos inalienables, esta vez en Karabaj.Karabaj es lo último que Armenia puede ceder, no podemos hacer conseciones en Artsaj.¿ Es posible que la dirigencia Armenia haya entregado la Causa Armenia respecto a Turquía como moneda de cambio para poder negociar mejor en Karabaj?.¿Por que Armenia?Armenia es un país estable para pasar los oleoductos y gasoductos, y los caminos y trenes, además Rusia la considera como su propio dominio... La gran duda es que le va a quedar al pueblo armenio de todo esto? El riesgo es que se quede sin nada y los únicos beneficiarios sean las mafias y grupos de poder que actúan allí.Turquía da en varios blancos con estos protocolos:Golpea a la Diáspora armeniaIntenta subyugar a la Rep. De ArmeniaAsocia a Rusia, en las rutas de la energía y se afianza dejando fuera a los EEUUCumple con Europa abriendo las fronteras con ArmeniaSe muestra como un país amante de la paz y la concordanciaDisciplina a los kurdos de su país, al amenazar con quitarles sus tierras y devolvérselas a sus antiguos dueños (los nuevos socios) la nación armeniaComo dijera el Presidente de Azerbaiján, Aliev en estos días:El proceso de los protocolos ha llevado a encolerizar a la Diáspora armenia, crear una fuerte resistencia en la opinión pública de Armenia, rechazos de los nacionalistas turcos por acordar con Armenia antes de que Kartabaj sea acordado entre las partes y rechazo de Azerbaiján por lo mismo.El apuro por cerrar todos los conflictos a la vez para abrir las rutas de la energía, podría llevar a mayores conflictos en la región.La Diáspora armenia y la oposición en Armenia todavía tienen la esperanza que el parlamento armenio "corrija" las concesiones unilaterales hechas a Turquía.Nosotros los descendientes de armenios reclamaremos desde los países de habla hispana por que tenemos el derecho de hacerlo y utilizaremos ese derecho.La historia se está escribiendo ahora.
Aram BarceghianCreador de IAN
13 de OCTUBRE 2009Un cambio geopolítico en el Cáucaso y en nuestra Diáspora
Fuente Nota de Opinión, Editorial de IAN.
Escribe Aram Barceghian
Un fuerte golpe a nuestra Identidad
Comencemos por casa.
Nadie puede negar que los Protocolos nos inflingen un verdadero golpe a la identidad de los armenios diasporeanos.La enorme Diáspora post genocidio cuyo mito convocante ha sido desde siempre, la lucha por la justicia, el reconocimiento del Genocidio de 1915 y la devolución de los territorios armenios usurpados por Turquía, sufre una crisis de dimensiones inciertas con la firma de los protocolos.¿Es posible que los protocolos tengan entre otros objetivos golpear en el corazón mismo de la Diáspora armenia?Hemos visto lo sucedido estos días de revuelo y agitación. Hay unos pocos pero representativos dirigentes comunitarios a nivel mundial y personalidades que apoyaron públicamente la firma de los protocolos.Y están los otros, bastantes más, los que salieron a combatir los protocolos, reclamándole al Presidente de Armenia en su reciente gira por las comunidades armenias el mundo, que no acepte las precondiciones turcas, acusando de traidores a los primeros.Hay quienes se lamentan por que ven en estos protocolos el tiro de gracia a la Cuestión Armenia. Si Armenia reconoce las actuales fronteras con Turquía, renuncia a la Armenia occidental en manos turcas, dicen. Y si además se crea una comisión de estudio para “analizar imparcialmente” lo sucedido en 1915, habremos retrocedido 50 años de lucha ya que un hecho aceptado internacionalmente como “Genocidio Armenio”, es puesto en duda por los mismos armenios! Algo impensable para la mayoría de nosotros, hace solo unos meses atrás.Algunos opinan que si la Diáspora pierde su mito convocante o sea su causa, pierde su identidad y su fuerza comenzará a enflaquecer. Una Diáspora mas debil, ¿significará una Armenia mas debil?.¿Es posible que los protocolos tengan también por objetivo crear una cuña entre Armenia y su Diáspora?.Hemos visto en estos días que hay voces que hablan de la “traición” del Presidente de Armenia, y de que la Diáspora debiera retirarle su apoyo al país de los armenios.Y ¿A quien le sirve este sombrío escenario?De algo no quedan dudas, a los descendientes de armenios nos están quitando las vías por las que circulamos durante mas de 9 décadas.¿Armenia vuelve a estar bajo el dominio turco?El presidente Sarkisian dijo el día de la firma en un discurso público, que “Armenia no tiene otra alternativa” que firmar estos protocolos.Si uno observa el video de la reunión del Comité de Seguridad de Armenia, que decide por unanimidad avanzar con los protocolos, - en donde entre otros se encontraba nuestro Katolicós Karekin II- puede darse una idea de lo que está pasando con la dirigencia armenia al ver sus rostros de preocupación y sus gestos de nerviosismo. A mi personalmente me agustió ver esto.Creo que la dirigencia armenia ve enormes riesgos en este proceso, pero no tiene mas remedio que seguirlo. Particularmente no tengo dudas que estos protocolos les fueron impuestos a Armenia sin más, mas allá de la posible inoperancia (denunciada por algunas fuerzas opositoras) del Ministerio de Rel.Exteriores armenio. Escuchar al ex Ministro de Rel. Exteriores Vartán Oskanian, confirman esta idea.La dirigencia de la República (será para salvar su imagen acaso) afirma que Armenia ha comenzado con este proceso y que necesita abrir sus fronteras para “comerciar” mas eficientemente… Y deja entrever que los turcos no son los de antes, han cambiado, vivimos otros tiempos… Argumento que es apoyado por algunos grupos.Y ¿Cuáles son los riesgos de esta “apertura comercial”?Enormes:1) Que la infinitamente mas grande economía turca se apodere de los mercados, las empresas y comercios de Armenia, 2) que los pequeños productores armenios quiebren por falta de escala productiva, 3) que los capitales turcos “compren” las tierras armenias, los edificios emblemáticos... etc.Si esto sucede, Armenia habrá perdido su independencia política y diplomática.Recordemos que los intereses del Estado turco y los intereses de los armenios son contrapuestos. Mientras Turquía no reconozca el Genocidio, fue es y será una amenaza constante para Armenia.¿Es posible que los protocolos tengan por objeto poner nuevamente bajo el dominio turco a la nación armenia?La Guerra de Georgia, las rutas energéticas, Rusia, Turquía y la Cuestión de Nagorno KarabajLo que no se dice siempre es la verdad.Las energía mueve al mundo. Especialmente a las grandes potencias.De momento, el oleoducto BTC (Azerbaiján, Georgia y Turquía) es la pieza más importante de una serie de proyectos energéticos (petróleo y gas) que han de pasar por el cáucaso. Esta energía es importante para Europa e incluso Israel.Hasta la guerra Ruso-Georgiana de 2008 por Osetia del Sur y Abjasia, Georgia era considerada una pieza clave en esta ruta, eludiendo a Armenia, aliada de Rusia .Rusia era la principal contrincante del proyecto BTC, ya que cuenta con su propio oleoducto y gasoducto que llega a Europa directamente.Luego de la guerra, Georgia ha quedado en evidencia como un país que es un compendio de problemas más que de soluciones: inestabilidad política, guerra civil y separatismos. Y eso no es lo que busca el negocio de la energía.La hábil diplomacia turca convierte a Rusia en socia y deja a los EEUU fuera del cáucaso. Turquía y Rusia consideran el cáucaso como sus zonas de influencia y logran cooperar en los proyectos de energía.Por eso los armenios sienten “que Rusia les soltó la mano”. En realidad una vez mas, queda demostrada en la historia que los acuerdos ruso-turcos tienen un costo alto para los armenios. Turquía ha impuesto todas sus precondiciones a los armenios y Rusia las ha apoyado.Nagorno-KarabajNo quedan dudas que la Cuestión de Karabaj debe llegar a un acuerdo para poder materializarse este plan.Aquí existe el otro riesgo para la nación armenia. Mucha presión en varios frentes a la vez podría hacer que los armenios deban ceder una vez más en sus derechos inalienables, esta vez en Karabaj.Karabaj es lo último que Armenia puede ceder, no podemos hacer conseciones en Artsaj.¿ Es posible que la dirigencia Armenia haya entregado la Causa Armenia respecto a Turquía como moneda de cambio para poder negociar mejor en Karabaj?.¿Por que Armenia?Armenia es un país estable para pasar los oleoductos y gasoductos, y los caminos y trenes, además Rusia la considera como su propio dominio... La gran duda es que le va a quedar al pueblo armenio de todo esto? El riesgo es que se quede sin nada y los únicos beneficiarios sean las mafias y grupos de poder que actúan allí.Turquía da en varios blancos con estos protocolos:Golpea a la Diáspora armeniaIntenta subyugar a la Rep. De ArmeniaAsocia a Rusia, en las rutas de la energía y se afianza dejando fuera a los EEUUCumple con Europa abriendo las fronteras con ArmeniaSe muestra como un país amante de la paz y la concordanciaDisciplina a los kurdos de su país, al amenazar con quitarles sus tierras y devolvérselas a sus antiguos dueños (los nuevos socios) la nación armeniaComo dijera el Presidente de Azerbaiján, Aliev en estos días:El proceso de los protocolos ha llevado a encolerizar a la Diáspora armenia, crear una fuerte resistencia en la opinión pública de Armenia, rechazos de los nacionalistas turcos por acordar con Armenia antes de que Kartabaj sea acordado entre las partes y rechazo de Azerbaiján por lo mismo.El apuro por cerrar todos los conflictos a la vez para abrir las rutas de la energía, podría llevar a mayores conflictos en la región.La Diáspora armenia y la oposición en Armenia todavía tienen la esperanza que el parlamento armenio "corrija" las concesiones unilaterales hechas a Turquía.Nosotros los descendientes de armenios reclamaremos desde los países de habla hispana por que tenemos el derecho de hacerlo y utilizaremos ese derecho.La historia se está escribiendo ahora.
Aram BarceghianCreador de IAN
viernes, 9 de octubre de 2009
PROTOCOLO
Davidian: Turkish-Armenian Protocols: Reality and Irrationality
By David Davidian • on October 1, 2009 •
By David Davidian • on October 1, 2009 •
“The Protocol on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations Between the Republic of Armenia and the Republic of Turkey” officially announced in Berne, Yerevan, and Ankara on Aug. 31, has been brought to center stage and not without controversy. In order to fully appreciate and rationally analyze this yet-to-be-ratified document that is meant to serve as the basis for further dialogue between the parties, its origins and accepted norms of international behavior regarding it must be understood. The document exists, it is not going away, and undoubtedly will be ratified by the Armenian Parliament in short order. The Turkish Parliament may delay ratification. While this article cannot cover every aspect in depth, the attempt is to provide a foundation to understand what may or may not be transpiring between Armenia and Turkey and why.
This protocol is the culmination of at least five years of discussions between Armenians and Turks at different official levels. Beginning circa 2003, talks were underway between then Turkish and Armenian Foreign Ministers Abdullah Gul and Vartan Oskanian, respectively. While these talks appeared to be non-productive, in 2005, Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan suggested instituting a joint historical commission to study what was termed “claims of genocide.” Armenia and Turkey are talking for many reasons; if for no other reason they are neighbors, irrespective of the outstanding historical issues. Why might Armenia deign talking with Turkey? Without talking, nothing can be addressed between the two parties, including issues not related to the protocol, and these are the parties that are the internationally recognized as players, in spite of an extensive Armenian Diaspora.
Neither Armenia nor Turkey is in a position to unilaterally act completely independent of the interests of larger regional or international states. Subordinate states have to constantly re-examine their interests in order to adjust with those of major powers with the aim of maximizing bargaining stand while understanding (and attempting not to capitulate to) the interest of the other parties. In general, this precludes these states from engaging in zero sum inanity, such as demanding an all-or-nothing state of affairs.
If the combined political pressure from Russia, U.S., and EU “strongly suggests” not only Armenia consider discussing with the Turks lifting their border blockade but attempt to discuss historical issues, it is not acceptable or even in Armenia’s interest to simply say “no.” In a crude analogy, Serbia’s Milosevic responded with the refrain “no, no, no” in response to the demands of major powers to end the campaign of ethnic cleansing regardless of the claim “we didn’t start it.” His country was bombed and its infrastructure heavily damaged.
Equivalent pressure was put on the Turkey to begin serious talks with Armenia in spite of Turkish demands that Armenian forces leave Nagorno-Karabagh and its environs, and that Armenia end support for genocide recognition before discussions can become substantive.1 Interestingly enough, neither of these Turkish demands is stated in the protocol.
Interplay of competing and converging interests
There appears to be a confluence of outcome in advancing Armenian-Turkish relations despite major interests appearing orthogonal to each other. The EU requires no border conflicts among any of its members or those in ascension towards membership, such as Turkey. It also has trade pacts and bilateral agreements with Turkey required by EU’s ascension criteria. The Turkish blockade of the Armenian border makes a mockery of many of their tenets. Moreover, the EU would like to see a stable Caucasus to facilitate energy transport to Europe, as parts of Europe froze last winter when Russia was forced to shut gas through Ukrainian transport pipelines. Any stable routing is in EU’s interest. Moreover, without an open border, Armenia cannot actively engage in the European Neighborhood Policy which is an extension of the European Partnership and Cooperation Agreement between the EU and Armenia. As of 2006,2 the resulting Action Plan for Armenia has provided over 2 billion euros in community assistance. The EU would like to see the fruits of their assistance grow through expanded trade. While it is unclear if Armenia would be part of any future or expanded energy transit routes, Turkey does want to expand its role and Armenia provides a convenient and alternative pathway. In the process, Georgia’s role as a forced transit route around Armenia may diminish. This would be in Russia’s interest.
The full extent of Russian interests in advancing this protocol itself could be the subject of a small book. However, it is clear that Russian economic interests in Armenia, which are considerable, amounting to nearly $2.5 billion,3 can generate better returns with at least a semi-open border and established relations between Armenia and Turkey. Russia’s ability to bring Armenia to its knees in short order is astounding. It could force the closure of the Armenian nuclear power plant at Medzamor, for “technical reasons,” eliminating about 40 percent of Armenia’s electrical generating capacity. Russian gas, running through Georgian pipelines to Armenia could easily be “damaged” during winter months, cutting off gas and crippling Armenia. This combined with the ability to enact restrictions on remittances from Russian Armenians; it is clear Russia holds the keys in Armenia. Whether Armenia should have sold off critical infrastructure to the Russians is now a moot point.
Russia watched Azerbaijan react in disbelief when Turkish President Abdullah Gul traveled to Armenia for a soccer match a year ago. It appeared to Azerbaijan that Turkey had forsaken it with Gul stepping foot in Armenia. Turkey has been the champion in support of Azerbaijan in the frozen conflict over the Armenian populated enclave Nagorno-Karabagh. Karabagh had been placed under Azerbaijani jurisdiction during the Soviet era. Now it is basically an extension of Armenia after Azerbaijan lost control of it in a war. Over the past year, Azerbaijan made threats to stop gas shipments to Turkey and the use of the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline, and began auditing institutions in Azerbaijan funded with Turkish money. Turkey maintained, until the protocol was made public, that it would not enter into border discussions until Armenian troops vacated Nagorno-Karabagh. There could not have been a more efficient way to create suspicion of Turkish intentions towards Azerbaijan, bringing Baku to a point where it could decide to transport a larger percentage of its gas via existing Russian pipelines. The Azerbaijanis may not like dealing with the Russians, but at least the latter is predictable.
Georgia’s war with Russia changed the balance of power in the Caucasus and in doing so became a catalyst in advancing Armenian-Turkish talks and accelerating, by perhaps a year or so, the establishment of the protocols. Georgia became one of the two front-line states, along with Ukraine, that became a battleground for influence between the U.S. and Russia. The United States can project power, but little can replace the influence on Georgia and Ukraine of a neighboring power. In the end, Georgia became a weaker state after the August 2008 Russian-Georgian conflict, not just because it effectively lost South Ossetia and Abkhazia, and is under partial blockade, but Russia made a clear statement about its continued influence in the Southern Caucasus. Azerbaijan was subsequently forced to re-think entertaining notions of attacking Nagorno-Karabagh. In the zeal to create rough parity with the increased Russian influence moving south across the Caucasus, Turkey was forced to engage Armenia by: accelerating diplomatic efforts, Gul attending the soccer match in Armenia, and advancing a now-defunct Caucasian Initiative, all at the expense of Azerbaijan. This exposed a flaw in Turkish foreign policy by damaging relations with Azerbaijan. In addition, Turkey has shown interest in actually buying Caspian Basin gas and reselling to the EU, cutting into Azerbaijani profits. Individual state interest trumps so-called brotherly relations.
The August 2008 Russian-Georgian war terminated Russia’s use of Georgian transport routes to maintain activities at Russian military bases in Armenia. Reports and quick Turkish denials claim the Russians began working with Turkey to allow the use of their airspace to maintain operations in Armenia.4,5 Also, supply trains destined for Armenia initially remained stalled in Georgia, creating enough worry that Georgian routes to the Black Sea or to the north Caucasus are simply not reliable for Armenian trade.
A closed Armenian border with Turkey would make any land transport of Russian military items difficult—an open border would facilitate this. Why might Turkey allow Russia to transport military equipment to its base in Gyumri? For Turkey, the prospect of an arrangement, especially on its terms, outweighed any potential threats from Russian bases especially in light of greatly increased bilateral trade and cooperation in potential energy transport to the EU. Besides, once in operation, Turkey can always attempt to extract concessions from Russia for the use of transport routes and can restrict passage any time.
Russia and Turkey cannot project complimentary influence in the larger region without a resolution of the Turkish blockade of the Armenian border. The $500 million Russian loan to Armenia6 earlier this year reinforces the strategic importance Russia places on Armenia and with clear ability to influence policies in Yerevan.
There is talk of Turkey warming up to the estranged Georgian region of Abkhazia, which advances Russian interest at the expense of Georgian-Turkish relations. In the words of a think tank associated with the Turkish FM, “Ankara could no longer ignore the new reality in the region.”7 Armenian news outlets have quoted Cenk Baslamis writing in the Turkish daily Milliyet, “Ankara will recognize independence of Abkhazia in the near future, while Moscow will recognize Turkish part of Cyprus.” Apparently, this topic began surfacing with an article by Paul Goble in the English Language Georgian Daily.8 While this could hardly happen overnight, the trial balloon has been released. Ultimately, Turkey can simultaneously give tacit approval of the “new reality” while fomenting anti-Russian agitation in Abkhazia. Turkish-Russian political relationships have been quite dynamic since talks began circa 1996 to reduce Turkish involvement in Russia’s Chechen war and Russian support for the PKK.9 The Turkish-Russian relationship culminated with the historic visit of Russian President Putin to Turkey in late 2004.10
One can see a confluence of Russian and Turkish interest on one side and U.S. pressure on the Turks to “unfreeze” discussions with Armenians and reach some interim agreement—the protocol.11
The U.S. has transitioned its policy objectives in the southern Caucasus from those of the previous decade. In the last decade, the U.S. aimed to secure the development of latent energy reserves and the ability to securely move them westward. Much of this effort was centered upon Azerbaijani oil and gas reserves and those on the eastern shores of the Caspian, such as Turkmen gas and Kazakh oil. This effort required the exaggeration of existing Azerbaijani reserves and tolerating a series of despotic regimes in Baku. The U.S. State Department claimed that from 50-200 billion barrels of oil existed under Azerbaijani sovereignty. It turned out to be from 5-20 billion barrels. In fact, Azerbaijan will become net importer of oil by about 2021, with peak output declining circa 2012, unless substantial new fields are discovered.12 Claims such as “The Deal of a Century” were touted in the western presses, especially in the U.S. and the UK. Clearly, the regional competitor capable of transporting Caspian Basin energy resources was Russia. As the decade proceeded various projects were proposed. The largest was the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline project signed in 1994. This pipeline avoided Armenia and Iran, even though it was more expensive to construct the line through Georgia. Being Russia’s strategic partner in the region, Armenia was bypassed for political reasons. Iran was not even considered, since Azerbaijan is a major source of oil for Israel. U.S. energy related companies have substantial percentage interest in nearly every transport consortium and gas or oil fields in Azerbaijan.
The latest gas pipeline proposed is the Nabbuco pipeline supplying Azerbaijani and Turkmen gas through Turkey, to the Balkans and into central Europe. Other projects include BlueStream bringing Russian gas into Turkey via a pipeline under the Black Sea.
As western energy development and transport schemes became viable alternatives to the Russian pipelines and with Russia architecting and successfully negotiating with energy partners, by early to mid this decade, U.S. policy in the region moved from competition with Russia to mild cooperation. Peace and stability were in both U.S. and Russian interest. As energy transportation requires deposits and contiguous geography respectively, U.S. (and European) efforts became focused first on freezing armed hostilities, then onto solving existing ethnic disputes. The closed Turkish-Armenian frontier must have been at the top of that list, considering the zeal at which Turkey accepted the soccer match invitation at the jaw dropping chagrin of Baku.
U.S. officials have stated that an open border with Turkey would reduce Armenia’s dependence on both Russia and Iran. However, any reduction in Russian influence on Armenia with an open Turkish border is questionable since Russia owns major segments of Armenian’s strategic infrastructure, such as the electrical grid, the operation of Armenia’s nuclear power station, the rail system, and has interest in the Armenian-Iranian gas pipeline, among other things.
If steady energy transport and revenues generated are at the basis for current U.S. policy, it may not be surprising that a change in the political status quo of Nagorno-Karabagh may now be in the interest of major powers. Until now the status quo with respect to Nagorno-Karabagh was in the interest of major players except for those in Baku (the daily bellicose vocabulary of Baku would have one expecting an Azerbaijani attack on Nagorno-Karabagh any day for the past several years). This frozen status was used by Moscow to influence policy in Azerbaijan. The “new regional realities” and political transformations have taken place with the Armenians of Nagorno-Karabagh conducting their own affairs outside of Azerbaijani sovereignty. The existence of Nagorno-Karabagh in any form does not affect the transport of energy, for there would be no logical reason to run any pipelines over its mountains when that region is surrounded by relatively flat lands. In addition, Nagorno-Karabagh does not have any hydrocarbon deposits. A real resolution to the Nagorno-Karabagh conflict may be possible in the near future in light of these “new regional realities.”
With an open or semi-open Turkish-Armenian border, Georgia will quickly lose much of its overland transport fees from Armenian wholesale importers. Reduced importance of Georgia on Armenia also serves Russian interests. Russia would prefer to see Georgia in its sphere of influence. Until that time, Russia would like Georgia simply wither on the vine.
The protocol
Other than state institutions and the negotiators themselves, no one knows under what conditions, stated or perceived interests, principles, etc., the protocol discussions proceeded. The process was not at all transparent. It is clear that a unique confluence of political resolve exhibited between the U.S. and Russia across the Atlantic and between Turkey and Russia regionally, had a strong influence on both parties to reach a framework for further negotiations. It is not accurate to assume that Turkey, Armenia or both could simply ignore these international pressures.
Before the protocol was made public, Turkey maintained two basic preconditions that had to be addressed before formal negotiations could proceed: Armenia end its support for expanding international recognition of the Turkish genocide of the Armenians, and Armenian forces withdraw from Nagorno-Karabagh and surrounding regions. In addition to these two basic preconditions, references were made regarding Armenia specifically stating it has no claims on any lands in eastern Anatolia and by default recognizing current borders as inviolable. None of these items are mentioned in the protocol. There are only three actionable items in the protocol, the rest is procedural.13 These are:
1. Agree to open the common border within 2 months after the entry into force of this protocol,
2. Agree to conduct regular political consultations between the Ministries of Foreign Affairs of the two countries;
implement a dialogue on the historical dimension with the aim to restore mutual confidence between the two nations, including an impartial scientific examination of the historical records and archives to define existing problems and formulate recommendations;
make the best possible use of existing transport, communications and energy infrastructure and networks between the two countries, and to undertake measures in this regard;
develop the bilateral legal framework in order to foster cooperation between the two countries;
cooperate in the fields of science and education by encouraging relations between the appropriate institutions as well as promoting the exchange of specialists and students, and act with the aim of preserving the cultural heritage of both sides and launching common cultural projects;
establish consular cooperation in accordance with the Vienna Convention on Consular Relations of 1963 in order to provide necessary assistance and protection to the citizens of the two countries;
take concrete measures in order to develop trade, tourism and economic cooperation between the two countries;
engage in a dialogue and reinforce their cooperation on environmental issues.
3. Agree on the establishment of an intergovernmental bilateral commission which shall comprise separate sub-commissions for the prompt implementation of the commitments mentioned in operational paragraph 2 above in this protocol. To prepare the working modalities of the intergovernmental commission and its sub-commissions, a working group headed by the two Ministers of Foreign Affairs shall be created two months after the day following the entry into force of this protocol. Within three months after the entry into force of this protocol, these modalities shall be approved at ministerial level. The intergovernmental commission shall meet for the first time immediately after the adoption of the said modalities. The sub-commissions shall start their work at the latest one month thereafter and they shall work continuously until the completion of their mandates. The timetable and elements agreed by both sides for the implementation of this protocol are mentioned in the annexed document, which is integral part of this protocol.
Both Turkey and Armenia must ratify the text before this protocol becomes actionable.
Item 1 is the clause that serves as the basis for opening the border. However, how open it would be and restrictions of its use by the parties, is not stated.
Item 2 refers to the furtherance of bilateral relations, but in particular notes a bilateral commission to be established to examine the “historical” record. While not explicitly stated, the overarching historical issue is the genocide of the Armenians. It is generally understood this is the paramount issue that will be examined.
Item 3 is a procedural item referring to implementing Item 2.
Since Armenia has long stated its desire to enter into discussions with Turkey without any preconditions to affect a resolution of Item 1—lifting the Turkish border blockade—it can be assumed that Item 2 was a Turkish initiative. It is also assumed that Turkey was never strategically or fundamentally against opening the border, judging by its current tactical interests.
Thus, we can tabulate the preconditions that were suggested, agreed to or dismissed throughout discussions, post 2005, especially after the election of Armenian President Serge Sarkisian in 2008.
Condition
Suggesting Party
In Protocol
Open border
Both
Yes
Armenian forces withdraw from Nagorno-Karabagh
Turkey
No
Historical commission
Turkey
Yes
End international recognition of Armenian Genocide
Turkey
No
Explicitly state no land claims on Western Armenia
Turkey
No
Roughly speaking, the outcome of the agreement is the promise of an open border in exchange for the establishment of the historic commission.
The “winning” and “losing” party has been spun by both sides. Typical of Turkish spin is read in the pro-government daily Hurriyet, Sept. 15, 2009, in an article written by Yusuf Kanli14 where he states:
“First of all Armenia has accepted for the first time ever the creation of a history commission that might feature historians from interested third parties in examining the genocide claims. That is, without saying so the Serge Sarkisian administration of Armenian has conceded from the ‘Genocide is a fact, there is no need to verify it through scientific research or to discuss it’ position.”
What appears to be an Armenian concession to the Turks is at best a method for Turks to delay international debate on genocide recognition. It is unclear why the Turkish side sees this as a victory unless delaying recognition was their original goal. Using such a commission as a delay tactic will ultimately result in a strategic blunder as Turkish disingenuousness will be clear to the international community. Whether the Turkish end game is gaining a few years of leeway or denying consent to an unfavorable commission outcome, or both, can have negative repercussions with EU countries, highlighting Turkish resistance to reforms expected of it. This may be the case with European states that have recognized the genocide, such as Switzerland. Switzerland is a party to this protocol process.
Turkey may have made another mistake in misreading Armenian opposition to a historical commission since Erdogan suggested it in 2005. Armenian opposition to an historical commission, mainly seen in the diaspora, is based on the assumption that any inquiry into the historical record regarding the genocide is tantamount to questioning the veracity of the genocide. Over 20 countries have recognized the Turkish genocide of the Armenians as an indisputable fact and the International Association of Genocide Scholars (IAGS) have stated without reservation that the Armenians were subject to genocide. Scores of renown historians agree it was genocide and the International Center for Transitional Justice (ICTJ), commission by the Turkish Armenian Reconciliation Commission (TARC), in their study concluded the Armenians were subject to genocide.15 What other possible outcome could such an honest historical commission as stated in Item 2, be other than a reiteration of what is an accepted fact. Unlike the Jews in the aftermath of the Nuremberg Trials, Armenians do not have the luxury of completely rejecting any inquiries into confirming the genocide. The Jews have the ability to reject as blasphemous, for example, somebody publishing an analysis of the gas used in gas chambers as being not really Zyklon-B, but perhaps Zyklon-C, or -D.
Recent Armenian protests16 and proclamations against this commission certainly give the Turks reason to assume they extracted some sort of a concession from the Armenians. Protests since 2005 against any historical commission may have unwittingly helped Armenia’s negotiators.
Paraphrasing Turkish professor Taner Akcam,17 what previously unknown document could possibly exist that will allow one to negate the genocide of the Armenians in light of all the research that has been done and the clear recognition it has received?
It is entirely possible that Armenian historians would be so inept so as to allow Turkish denialists to re-write history. The chance of this happening with the entire concerned world watching is doubtful. Moreover, if the commission becomes a mockery of the facts, any conclusions it makes would be considered effectively null and void. Besides, chances are high that many of the commission sessions will be hosted in Switzerland, which not only has recognized the crime of genocide committed against the Armenians, but should arrest any deniers on their territory. However, even if the outcome of the historical commission’s “research” reiterates the fact of genocide, subsequent redress may remain unresolved.
Yusuf Kanli continues:
“Secondly, for the first time ever in the post-Soviet era, Armenia has agreed to recognize the joint border with Turkey as was defined in the Kars Treaty, though there is no reference in the protocols to the Kars Treaty. Such recognition by Armenia is no less than declaring it has no territorial claims from Turkey or it has turned a cold shoulder to diaspora’s land claims from Turkey.”
There is a border that exists between Armenia and Turkey. On one side are Turkish guards, on the other Russian and Armenian ones. Recognizing the current border is required in order to open it. Hurriyet and its editors engage in extreme spin when they claim that border recognition requires recognizing the process that created that demarcation. No where in the protocol does it mention the Treaty of Kars, the Treaty of Moscow, or the Treaty of Alexandropol for that matter. This is because there is no international obligation for Armenia to recognize such previous treaties in this case. This is well defined in Villiger’s Customary International Law and Treaties18 and in the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties19, ratified by Armenia20 in May 2005. The latter clearly states in Section 2:
APPLICATION OF TREATIES
Article 28: Non-retroactivity of treaties
Unless a different intention appears from the treaty or is otherwise established, its provisions do not bind a party in relation to any act or fact which took place or any situation which ceased to exist before the date of the entry into force of the treaty with respect to that party.
Article 29: Territorial scope of treaties
Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties
Unless a different intention appears from the treaty or is otherwise established, a treaty is binding upon each party in respect of its entire territory.
Article 30: Application of successive treaties relating to the same subject-matter
1. Subject to Article 103 of the Charter of the United Nations, the rights and obligations of States parties to successive treaties relating to the same subject-matter shall be determined in accordance with the following paragraphs.
2. When a treaty specifies that it is subject to, or that it is not to be considered as incompatible with, an earlier or later treaty, the provisions of that other treaty prevail.
3. When all the parties to the earlier treaty are parties also to the later treaty but the earlier treaty is not terminated or suspended in operation under article 59, the earlier treaty applies only to the extent that its provisions are compatible with those of the latter treaty.
4. When the parties to the later treaty do not include all the parties to the earlier one:
(a) as between States parties to both treaties the same rule applies as in paragraph 3;
(b) as between a State party to both treaties and a State party to only one of the treaties, the treaty to which both States are parties governs their mutual rights and obligations.
5. Paragraph 4 is without prejudice to article 41, or to any question of the termination or suspension of the operation of a treaty under article 60 or to any question of responsibility which may arise for a State from the conclusion or application of a treaty the provisions of which are incompatible with its obligations towards another State under another treaty.
At the time of this writing Turkey still has not ratified this convention.21 Armenia has and is under no obligation to recognize the Treaty of Kars or Moscow that basically resulted in the current Turkish-Armenian border. The United States ratified this convention on April 24, 1970.
Positions
Armenia is in an interesting diplomatic position at the publication of this protocol. The only item that changes anything is the physical lifting of the Turkish border blockade. Armenia should ratify this protocol without delay and put pressure on Turkey not to delay or will pay the PR consequences.
Turkey is in a situation where it has alienated its ally Azerbaijan by appearing to cut a deal with Armenia and has been making deals with Russia. It may also be under the false impression it has extracted concessions from Armenia. Turkey cannot appear overtly pan-Turkic in rhetoric in its support of Azerbaijan, as it will be used by opponents of Turkey’s EU ascension. Turkey may try to drag out the mandate of an historical commission but that has its time limits as well. Armenian diplomacy can consistently point to Turkish delay tactics.
Turkey also has an issue with ratification. Some opposition parties object to opening of the border without a resolution of the Nagorno-Karabagh conflict. Turkey might use this as an excuse to re-work the protocol, but that would come at a loss to Turkish diplomacy. Armenia can use this period to press Turkey publicly with actual preconditions if Turkish non-ratification is being used as a technique to gain concessions from Armenia. If Turkey does indeed ratify the protocol, the pro-Islamic AK party will be on the carpet to deliver the goods for Turkey. They have to end alienating Azerbaijan, not appearing too overtly helpful to Armenia while trying to convince the EU it is sincere in solving its ascension demands, and work with its new energy partner, Russia. If Turkish Foreign Minister Davutoglu, Prime Minster Erdogan, and President Gul fail to convince the Turkish public and the military that engaging Armenia using the guidelines agreed to in the protocols, there may indeed be early elections in Turkey before 2012. The AK party could be swept from power, leaving the protocol in the hands of nationalists which could face public pressure to declare it null and void.
Turkey will be in a diplomatic disadvantage if Armenia makes no errors.
Trade issues
There appears to be no official public study commissioned by the government of Armenia having as its basis a political and economic analysis demonstrating that opening the border between Armenia and Turkey will benefit anybody. Armenia may actually have an argument and not even know it. What has been stated publicly are simply guesses, usually positive, by members of the Armenian Parliament, Turkologists, “experts,” or oligarchs. An open border isn’t binary as almost all simple guesses have been based on. An “open border” may simply mean it is not totally closed and only allow products and material to traverse a limited number of hours or days a week or may mean automobile and bus traffic allowed on a weekly basis. There may never be a completely open border. It could also be completely open. This is an unknown at this time, but its answer lies at the center of the affects of an open Turkish-Armenian border on the Armenian economy.
This missing study must include a competitive analysis of all major Armenian industries covering at a minimum: management team expertise, product sales & marketing, product planning, market channels and development, government relations, cross-border transportation, international business planning, credit and banking reviews, and yes, accounting practices. One must then compare these industries with their Turkish counterparts and using Armenian and Turkish demographic buying patterns, determine the viability probability of each Armenian industry assuming free and open competition with the added affects of partial and severe protectionism. Past, current, and projected trading patterns must be evaluated. In parallel, a comparative study must be done with the only other country having a similar geo-political and economic position and that is Georgia. Such a study must determine why Georgia’s GDP is down nearly 40 percent from a year ago considering it has free and open trade with Turkey, Azerbaijan, and has many Black Sea ports.
Solid conclusions cannot be made without studies. If the studies are skewed (such as not taking into account: general corruption, influence peddling, nepotism, fraud, racketeering, graft, extortion, cartels, blackmail, potential EC-centric liability and product quality issues, engagement and exit strategies adjusting for changes in the Turkish government policies, Georgian and Iranian reaction, changes in employment patterns and the consequences of any subsequent brain drain, etc.) there is every chance of a failed evaluation. Perhaps the reason none of these studies seem to exist is because they would expose too much of Armenia’s black economy.
If history is any guide, Armenian oligarchs and those aspiring to be, may simply attempt to sell assets to Turks. An easy way to personal wealth is to replace the “headache” of producing domestic products with those made in Turkey, considering local distribution channels exist and are near monopolies. Armenians emptied out factories in the country in early and mid-nineties and sold their contents, including machines, to the Iranians. Apparently no accounting was made of those transactions.
It will be interesting to note if laws will be enacted to protect indigenous Armenian industries. Unregulated trade, combined with 90 years of Turkish experience in the mechanisms of market economics, could easily destroy Armenia’s economy and return the Armenian people to the specter of Turkish domination.
However, with Russian control of major segments of Armenia’s infrastructure, unfettered Turkish inroads into the Armenian economy will presumably be moderated. In addition, EU analysis will be watching closely over Turkish treatment of its neighbors.
David Davidian is a senior system architect at a major IT corporation engaging in technical intelligence analysis. He manages the U.S. office of RegionalKinetics.com and currently resides in Belmont, Mass.
References
1 Turkish-Armenian relations, football diplomacy, Sept. 3, 2009, http://www.economist.com/world/europe/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14380297.
2 Armenia, http://www.newnations.com/Archive/2006/June/am.html.
3 There Are Still Untapped Reserves in Armenian-Russian Friendship, http://www.panarmenian.net/news/eng/print/?nid=36647.
4 Georgian Transit Ban Hinders Russian Military Presence in Armenia, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav101008a.shtml.
5 Ankara Denies Turkey Route for Russian Base in Gumri, http://www.asbarez.com/2009/08/17/ankara-denies-turkey-route-for-russian-base-in-gumri/.
6 Armenia Confirms $500 Million Loan From Russia, http://www.rferl.org/content/Armenia_Confirms_Loan_From_Russia/1380318.html.
7 Turkish-Abkhazia Ties Test Turkey’s Strategic Partnership with Georgia, http://www.jamestown.org/programs/edm/single/?tx_ttnews%5btt_news%5d=35464&cHash=8a62793752.
8 Might Turkey be the Next Country to Recognize Abkhazia?, Paul Goble, http://georgiandaily.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=14534&Itemid=130.
9 Turkish Volunteers in Chechnya, http://www.jamestown.org/single/?no_cache=1&tx_ttnews%5btt_news%5d=300, Russia accuses Turkish NGOs of continuing aid to Chechen rebels, praises improvements in Saudi approach, http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P1-89675122.html, Russia’s “Kurdish Card” In Turkish-Russian Rivalry, http://members.internettrash.com/pkk/a-russia.html.
10 Improving Turkish-Russian Relations: Turkey’s New Foreign Policy and Its Implications for the United States, http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/templateC05.php?CID=2219.
11 Themes behind Turkey’s surprise move on Armenia, http://www.reporter.am/go/article/2009-09-04-strategy-politics-and-opportunism-.
12 Real Azerbaijan, Khronika Neobyavlennoi Katastrofi (Chronically Unannounced Catastrophe) Jan. 2, 2007, Eldar Namazov.
13 Protocol on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations between the Republic of Armenia and the Republic of Turkey, www.armenianow.com/pdf/20090831_protocol.pdf.
14 The Armenian Opening, http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/n.php?n=the-armenian-opening-2009-09-15.
15 The Applicability of the United Nations Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide to Events Which Occurred During the Early Twentieth Century–Legal Analysis Prepared for the International Center for Transitional Justice, http://www.ictj.org/images/content/7/5/759.pdf.
16 Aghjayan: In Pursuit of Justice and True Friendship, http://www.hairenik.com/weekly/2009/09/20/aghjayan-in-pursuit-of-justice-and-true-friendship/.
17 Taner Akçam: The decision will be made by politicians, not historians, http://www.reporter.am/go/article/2009-09-15-taner-ak-am-the-decision-will-be-made-by-politicians-not-historians.
18 Customary International Laws and Treaties, Mark Villiger, 1985 ISBN 90-247-2980-7. This is available at: http://books.google.com/books?id=PCoNaFd0TwgC&dq=customary+international+law+on+the+law+of+treaties&printsec=frontcover&source=bl&ots=aboOfjxNy0&sig=6muWHnnFkwNR3-_g-jRUT8K07ow&hl=en&ei=HcixSuz2M5-NtgfV_KDzBw&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=1#v=onepage&q=&f=false.
19 http://www.worldtradelaw.net/misc/viennaconvention.pdf.
20 On July 13, 2006 Armenia recorded a reservation:
Reservation“The Republic of Armenia does not consider itself bound by the provisions of article 66 of the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties and declares that for any dispute among the Contracting Parties concerning the application or the interpretation of any article of part V of the Convention to be submitted to the International Court of Justice for a decision or to the Conciliation Commission for consideration the consent of all the parties to the dispute is required in each separate case.”
21 Treaty Status of: 21-09-2009 04:03:52 EDT, http://treaties.un.org/Pages/ViewDetailsIII.aspx?&src=TREATY&mtdsg_no=XXIII~1&chapter=23&Temp=mtdsg3&lang=en.
This protocol is the culmination of at least five years of discussions between Armenians and Turks at different official levels. Beginning circa 2003, talks were underway between then Turkish and Armenian Foreign Ministers Abdullah Gul and Vartan Oskanian, respectively. While these talks appeared to be non-productive, in 2005, Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan suggested instituting a joint historical commission to study what was termed “claims of genocide.” Armenia and Turkey are talking for many reasons; if for no other reason they are neighbors, irrespective of the outstanding historical issues. Why might Armenia deign talking with Turkey? Without talking, nothing can be addressed between the two parties, including issues not related to the protocol, and these are the parties that are the internationally recognized as players, in spite of an extensive Armenian Diaspora.
Neither Armenia nor Turkey is in a position to unilaterally act completely independent of the interests of larger regional or international states. Subordinate states have to constantly re-examine their interests in order to adjust with those of major powers with the aim of maximizing bargaining stand while understanding (and attempting not to capitulate to) the interest of the other parties. In general, this precludes these states from engaging in zero sum inanity, such as demanding an all-or-nothing state of affairs.
If the combined political pressure from Russia, U.S., and EU “strongly suggests” not only Armenia consider discussing with the Turks lifting their border blockade but attempt to discuss historical issues, it is not acceptable or even in Armenia’s interest to simply say “no.” In a crude analogy, Serbia’s Milosevic responded with the refrain “no, no, no” in response to the demands of major powers to end the campaign of ethnic cleansing regardless of the claim “we didn’t start it.” His country was bombed and its infrastructure heavily damaged.
Equivalent pressure was put on the Turkey to begin serious talks with Armenia in spite of Turkish demands that Armenian forces leave Nagorno-Karabagh and its environs, and that Armenia end support for genocide recognition before discussions can become substantive.1 Interestingly enough, neither of these Turkish demands is stated in the protocol.
Interplay of competing and converging interests
There appears to be a confluence of outcome in advancing Armenian-Turkish relations despite major interests appearing orthogonal to each other. The EU requires no border conflicts among any of its members or those in ascension towards membership, such as Turkey. It also has trade pacts and bilateral agreements with Turkey required by EU’s ascension criteria. The Turkish blockade of the Armenian border makes a mockery of many of their tenets. Moreover, the EU would like to see a stable Caucasus to facilitate energy transport to Europe, as parts of Europe froze last winter when Russia was forced to shut gas through Ukrainian transport pipelines. Any stable routing is in EU’s interest. Moreover, without an open border, Armenia cannot actively engage in the European Neighborhood Policy which is an extension of the European Partnership and Cooperation Agreement between the EU and Armenia. As of 2006,2 the resulting Action Plan for Armenia has provided over 2 billion euros in community assistance. The EU would like to see the fruits of their assistance grow through expanded trade. While it is unclear if Armenia would be part of any future or expanded energy transit routes, Turkey does want to expand its role and Armenia provides a convenient and alternative pathway. In the process, Georgia’s role as a forced transit route around Armenia may diminish. This would be in Russia’s interest.
The full extent of Russian interests in advancing this protocol itself could be the subject of a small book. However, it is clear that Russian economic interests in Armenia, which are considerable, amounting to nearly $2.5 billion,3 can generate better returns with at least a semi-open border and established relations between Armenia and Turkey. Russia’s ability to bring Armenia to its knees in short order is astounding. It could force the closure of the Armenian nuclear power plant at Medzamor, for “technical reasons,” eliminating about 40 percent of Armenia’s electrical generating capacity. Russian gas, running through Georgian pipelines to Armenia could easily be “damaged” during winter months, cutting off gas and crippling Armenia. This combined with the ability to enact restrictions on remittances from Russian Armenians; it is clear Russia holds the keys in Armenia. Whether Armenia should have sold off critical infrastructure to the Russians is now a moot point.
Russia watched Azerbaijan react in disbelief when Turkish President Abdullah Gul traveled to Armenia for a soccer match a year ago. It appeared to Azerbaijan that Turkey had forsaken it with Gul stepping foot in Armenia. Turkey has been the champion in support of Azerbaijan in the frozen conflict over the Armenian populated enclave Nagorno-Karabagh. Karabagh had been placed under Azerbaijani jurisdiction during the Soviet era. Now it is basically an extension of Armenia after Azerbaijan lost control of it in a war. Over the past year, Azerbaijan made threats to stop gas shipments to Turkey and the use of the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline, and began auditing institutions in Azerbaijan funded with Turkish money. Turkey maintained, until the protocol was made public, that it would not enter into border discussions until Armenian troops vacated Nagorno-Karabagh. There could not have been a more efficient way to create suspicion of Turkish intentions towards Azerbaijan, bringing Baku to a point where it could decide to transport a larger percentage of its gas via existing Russian pipelines. The Azerbaijanis may not like dealing with the Russians, but at least the latter is predictable.
Georgia’s war with Russia changed the balance of power in the Caucasus and in doing so became a catalyst in advancing Armenian-Turkish talks and accelerating, by perhaps a year or so, the establishment of the protocols. Georgia became one of the two front-line states, along with Ukraine, that became a battleground for influence between the U.S. and Russia. The United States can project power, but little can replace the influence on Georgia and Ukraine of a neighboring power. In the end, Georgia became a weaker state after the August 2008 Russian-Georgian conflict, not just because it effectively lost South Ossetia and Abkhazia, and is under partial blockade, but Russia made a clear statement about its continued influence in the Southern Caucasus. Azerbaijan was subsequently forced to re-think entertaining notions of attacking Nagorno-Karabagh. In the zeal to create rough parity with the increased Russian influence moving south across the Caucasus, Turkey was forced to engage Armenia by: accelerating diplomatic efforts, Gul attending the soccer match in Armenia, and advancing a now-defunct Caucasian Initiative, all at the expense of Azerbaijan. This exposed a flaw in Turkish foreign policy by damaging relations with Azerbaijan. In addition, Turkey has shown interest in actually buying Caspian Basin gas and reselling to the EU, cutting into Azerbaijani profits. Individual state interest trumps so-called brotherly relations.
The August 2008 Russian-Georgian war terminated Russia’s use of Georgian transport routes to maintain activities at Russian military bases in Armenia. Reports and quick Turkish denials claim the Russians began working with Turkey to allow the use of their airspace to maintain operations in Armenia.4,5 Also, supply trains destined for Armenia initially remained stalled in Georgia, creating enough worry that Georgian routes to the Black Sea or to the north Caucasus are simply not reliable for Armenian trade.
A closed Armenian border with Turkey would make any land transport of Russian military items difficult—an open border would facilitate this. Why might Turkey allow Russia to transport military equipment to its base in Gyumri? For Turkey, the prospect of an arrangement, especially on its terms, outweighed any potential threats from Russian bases especially in light of greatly increased bilateral trade and cooperation in potential energy transport to the EU. Besides, once in operation, Turkey can always attempt to extract concessions from Russia for the use of transport routes and can restrict passage any time.
Russia and Turkey cannot project complimentary influence in the larger region without a resolution of the Turkish blockade of the Armenian border. The $500 million Russian loan to Armenia6 earlier this year reinforces the strategic importance Russia places on Armenia and with clear ability to influence policies in Yerevan.
There is talk of Turkey warming up to the estranged Georgian region of Abkhazia, which advances Russian interest at the expense of Georgian-Turkish relations. In the words of a think tank associated with the Turkish FM, “Ankara could no longer ignore the new reality in the region.”7 Armenian news outlets have quoted Cenk Baslamis writing in the Turkish daily Milliyet, “Ankara will recognize independence of Abkhazia in the near future, while Moscow will recognize Turkish part of Cyprus.” Apparently, this topic began surfacing with an article by Paul Goble in the English Language Georgian Daily.8 While this could hardly happen overnight, the trial balloon has been released. Ultimately, Turkey can simultaneously give tacit approval of the “new reality” while fomenting anti-Russian agitation in Abkhazia. Turkish-Russian political relationships have been quite dynamic since talks began circa 1996 to reduce Turkish involvement in Russia’s Chechen war and Russian support for the PKK.9 The Turkish-Russian relationship culminated with the historic visit of Russian President Putin to Turkey in late 2004.10
One can see a confluence of Russian and Turkish interest on one side and U.S. pressure on the Turks to “unfreeze” discussions with Armenians and reach some interim agreement—the protocol.11
The U.S. has transitioned its policy objectives in the southern Caucasus from those of the previous decade. In the last decade, the U.S. aimed to secure the development of latent energy reserves and the ability to securely move them westward. Much of this effort was centered upon Azerbaijani oil and gas reserves and those on the eastern shores of the Caspian, such as Turkmen gas and Kazakh oil. This effort required the exaggeration of existing Azerbaijani reserves and tolerating a series of despotic regimes in Baku. The U.S. State Department claimed that from 50-200 billion barrels of oil existed under Azerbaijani sovereignty. It turned out to be from 5-20 billion barrels. In fact, Azerbaijan will become net importer of oil by about 2021, with peak output declining circa 2012, unless substantial new fields are discovered.12 Claims such as “The Deal of a Century” were touted in the western presses, especially in the U.S. and the UK. Clearly, the regional competitor capable of transporting Caspian Basin energy resources was Russia. As the decade proceeded various projects were proposed. The largest was the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline project signed in 1994. This pipeline avoided Armenia and Iran, even though it was more expensive to construct the line through Georgia. Being Russia’s strategic partner in the region, Armenia was bypassed for political reasons. Iran was not even considered, since Azerbaijan is a major source of oil for Israel. U.S. energy related companies have substantial percentage interest in nearly every transport consortium and gas or oil fields in Azerbaijan.
The latest gas pipeline proposed is the Nabbuco pipeline supplying Azerbaijani and Turkmen gas through Turkey, to the Balkans and into central Europe. Other projects include BlueStream bringing Russian gas into Turkey via a pipeline under the Black Sea.
As western energy development and transport schemes became viable alternatives to the Russian pipelines and with Russia architecting and successfully negotiating with energy partners, by early to mid this decade, U.S. policy in the region moved from competition with Russia to mild cooperation. Peace and stability were in both U.S. and Russian interest. As energy transportation requires deposits and contiguous geography respectively, U.S. (and European) efforts became focused first on freezing armed hostilities, then onto solving existing ethnic disputes. The closed Turkish-Armenian frontier must have been at the top of that list, considering the zeal at which Turkey accepted the soccer match invitation at the jaw dropping chagrin of Baku.
U.S. officials have stated that an open border with Turkey would reduce Armenia’s dependence on both Russia and Iran. However, any reduction in Russian influence on Armenia with an open Turkish border is questionable since Russia owns major segments of Armenian’s strategic infrastructure, such as the electrical grid, the operation of Armenia’s nuclear power station, the rail system, and has interest in the Armenian-Iranian gas pipeline, among other things.
If steady energy transport and revenues generated are at the basis for current U.S. policy, it may not be surprising that a change in the political status quo of Nagorno-Karabagh may now be in the interest of major powers. Until now the status quo with respect to Nagorno-Karabagh was in the interest of major players except for those in Baku (the daily bellicose vocabulary of Baku would have one expecting an Azerbaijani attack on Nagorno-Karabagh any day for the past several years). This frozen status was used by Moscow to influence policy in Azerbaijan. The “new regional realities” and political transformations have taken place with the Armenians of Nagorno-Karabagh conducting their own affairs outside of Azerbaijani sovereignty. The existence of Nagorno-Karabagh in any form does not affect the transport of energy, for there would be no logical reason to run any pipelines over its mountains when that region is surrounded by relatively flat lands. In addition, Nagorno-Karabagh does not have any hydrocarbon deposits. A real resolution to the Nagorno-Karabagh conflict may be possible in the near future in light of these “new regional realities.”
With an open or semi-open Turkish-Armenian border, Georgia will quickly lose much of its overland transport fees from Armenian wholesale importers. Reduced importance of Georgia on Armenia also serves Russian interests. Russia would prefer to see Georgia in its sphere of influence. Until that time, Russia would like Georgia simply wither on the vine.
The protocol
Other than state institutions and the negotiators themselves, no one knows under what conditions, stated or perceived interests, principles, etc., the protocol discussions proceeded. The process was not at all transparent. It is clear that a unique confluence of political resolve exhibited between the U.S. and Russia across the Atlantic and between Turkey and Russia regionally, had a strong influence on both parties to reach a framework for further negotiations. It is not accurate to assume that Turkey, Armenia or both could simply ignore these international pressures.
Before the protocol was made public, Turkey maintained two basic preconditions that had to be addressed before formal negotiations could proceed: Armenia end its support for expanding international recognition of the Turkish genocide of the Armenians, and Armenian forces withdraw from Nagorno-Karabagh and surrounding regions. In addition to these two basic preconditions, references were made regarding Armenia specifically stating it has no claims on any lands in eastern Anatolia and by default recognizing current borders as inviolable. None of these items are mentioned in the protocol. There are only three actionable items in the protocol, the rest is procedural.13 These are:
1. Agree to open the common border within 2 months after the entry into force of this protocol,
2. Agree to conduct regular political consultations between the Ministries of Foreign Affairs of the two countries;
implement a dialogue on the historical dimension with the aim to restore mutual confidence between the two nations, including an impartial scientific examination of the historical records and archives to define existing problems and formulate recommendations;
make the best possible use of existing transport, communications and energy infrastructure and networks between the two countries, and to undertake measures in this regard;
develop the bilateral legal framework in order to foster cooperation between the two countries;
cooperate in the fields of science and education by encouraging relations between the appropriate institutions as well as promoting the exchange of specialists and students, and act with the aim of preserving the cultural heritage of both sides and launching common cultural projects;
establish consular cooperation in accordance with the Vienna Convention on Consular Relations of 1963 in order to provide necessary assistance and protection to the citizens of the two countries;
take concrete measures in order to develop trade, tourism and economic cooperation between the two countries;
engage in a dialogue and reinforce their cooperation on environmental issues.
3. Agree on the establishment of an intergovernmental bilateral commission which shall comprise separate sub-commissions for the prompt implementation of the commitments mentioned in operational paragraph 2 above in this protocol. To prepare the working modalities of the intergovernmental commission and its sub-commissions, a working group headed by the two Ministers of Foreign Affairs shall be created two months after the day following the entry into force of this protocol. Within three months after the entry into force of this protocol, these modalities shall be approved at ministerial level. The intergovernmental commission shall meet for the first time immediately after the adoption of the said modalities. The sub-commissions shall start their work at the latest one month thereafter and they shall work continuously until the completion of their mandates. The timetable and elements agreed by both sides for the implementation of this protocol are mentioned in the annexed document, which is integral part of this protocol.
Both Turkey and Armenia must ratify the text before this protocol becomes actionable.
Item 1 is the clause that serves as the basis for opening the border. However, how open it would be and restrictions of its use by the parties, is not stated.
Item 2 refers to the furtherance of bilateral relations, but in particular notes a bilateral commission to be established to examine the “historical” record. While not explicitly stated, the overarching historical issue is the genocide of the Armenians. It is generally understood this is the paramount issue that will be examined.
Item 3 is a procedural item referring to implementing Item 2.
Since Armenia has long stated its desire to enter into discussions with Turkey without any preconditions to affect a resolution of Item 1—lifting the Turkish border blockade—it can be assumed that Item 2 was a Turkish initiative. It is also assumed that Turkey was never strategically or fundamentally against opening the border, judging by its current tactical interests.
Thus, we can tabulate the preconditions that were suggested, agreed to or dismissed throughout discussions, post 2005, especially after the election of Armenian President Serge Sarkisian in 2008.
Condition
Suggesting Party
In Protocol
Open border
Both
Yes
Armenian forces withdraw from Nagorno-Karabagh
Turkey
No
Historical commission
Turkey
Yes
End international recognition of Armenian Genocide
Turkey
No
Explicitly state no land claims on Western Armenia
Turkey
No
Roughly speaking, the outcome of the agreement is the promise of an open border in exchange for the establishment of the historic commission.
The “winning” and “losing” party has been spun by both sides. Typical of Turkish spin is read in the pro-government daily Hurriyet, Sept. 15, 2009, in an article written by Yusuf Kanli14 where he states:
“First of all Armenia has accepted for the first time ever the creation of a history commission that might feature historians from interested third parties in examining the genocide claims. That is, without saying so the Serge Sarkisian administration of Armenian has conceded from the ‘Genocide is a fact, there is no need to verify it through scientific research or to discuss it’ position.”
What appears to be an Armenian concession to the Turks is at best a method for Turks to delay international debate on genocide recognition. It is unclear why the Turkish side sees this as a victory unless delaying recognition was their original goal. Using such a commission as a delay tactic will ultimately result in a strategic blunder as Turkish disingenuousness will be clear to the international community. Whether the Turkish end game is gaining a few years of leeway or denying consent to an unfavorable commission outcome, or both, can have negative repercussions with EU countries, highlighting Turkish resistance to reforms expected of it. This may be the case with European states that have recognized the genocide, such as Switzerland. Switzerland is a party to this protocol process.
Turkey may have made another mistake in misreading Armenian opposition to a historical commission since Erdogan suggested it in 2005. Armenian opposition to an historical commission, mainly seen in the diaspora, is based on the assumption that any inquiry into the historical record regarding the genocide is tantamount to questioning the veracity of the genocide. Over 20 countries have recognized the Turkish genocide of the Armenians as an indisputable fact and the International Association of Genocide Scholars (IAGS) have stated without reservation that the Armenians were subject to genocide. Scores of renown historians agree it was genocide and the International Center for Transitional Justice (ICTJ), commission by the Turkish Armenian Reconciliation Commission (TARC), in their study concluded the Armenians were subject to genocide.15 What other possible outcome could such an honest historical commission as stated in Item 2, be other than a reiteration of what is an accepted fact. Unlike the Jews in the aftermath of the Nuremberg Trials, Armenians do not have the luxury of completely rejecting any inquiries into confirming the genocide. The Jews have the ability to reject as blasphemous, for example, somebody publishing an analysis of the gas used in gas chambers as being not really Zyklon-B, but perhaps Zyklon-C, or -D.
Recent Armenian protests16 and proclamations against this commission certainly give the Turks reason to assume they extracted some sort of a concession from the Armenians. Protests since 2005 against any historical commission may have unwittingly helped Armenia’s negotiators.
Paraphrasing Turkish professor Taner Akcam,17 what previously unknown document could possibly exist that will allow one to negate the genocide of the Armenians in light of all the research that has been done and the clear recognition it has received?
It is entirely possible that Armenian historians would be so inept so as to allow Turkish denialists to re-write history. The chance of this happening with the entire concerned world watching is doubtful. Moreover, if the commission becomes a mockery of the facts, any conclusions it makes would be considered effectively null and void. Besides, chances are high that many of the commission sessions will be hosted in Switzerland, which not only has recognized the crime of genocide committed against the Armenians, but should arrest any deniers on their territory. However, even if the outcome of the historical commission’s “research” reiterates the fact of genocide, subsequent redress may remain unresolved.
Yusuf Kanli continues:
“Secondly, for the first time ever in the post-Soviet era, Armenia has agreed to recognize the joint border with Turkey as was defined in the Kars Treaty, though there is no reference in the protocols to the Kars Treaty. Such recognition by Armenia is no less than declaring it has no territorial claims from Turkey or it has turned a cold shoulder to diaspora’s land claims from Turkey.”
There is a border that exists between Armenia and Turkey. On one side are Turkish guards, on the other Russian and Armenian ones. Recognizing the current border is required in order to open it. Hurriyet and its editors engage in extreme spin when they claim that border recognition requires recognizing the process that created that demarcation. No where in the protocol does it mention the Treaty of Kars, the Treaty of Moscow, or the Treaty of Alexandropol for that matter. This is because there is no international obligation for Armenia to recognize such previous treaties in this case. This is well defined in Villiger’s Customary International Law and Treaties18 and in the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties19, ratified by Armenia20 in May 2005. The latter clearly states in Section 2:
APPLICATION OF TREATIES
Article 28: Non-retroactivity of treaties
Unless a different intention appears from the treaty or is otherwise established, its provisions do not bind a party in relation to any act or fact which took place or any situation which ceased to exist before the date of the entry into force of the treaty with respect to that party.
Article 29: Territorial scope of treaties
Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties
Unless a different intention appears from the treaty or is otherwise established, a treaty is binding upon each party in respect of its entire territory.
Article 30: Application of successive treaties relating to the same subject-matter
1. Subject to Article 103 of the Charter of the United Nations, the rights and obligations of States parties to successive treaties relating to the same subject-matter shall be determined in accordance with the following paragraphs.
2. When a treaty specifies that it is subject to, or that it is not to be considered as incompatible with, an earlier or later treaty, the provisions of that other treaty prevail.
3. When all the parties to the earlier treaty are parties also to the later treaty but the earlier treaty is not terminated or suspended in operation under article 59, the earlier treaty applies only to the extent that its provisions are compatible with those of the latter treaty.
4. When the parties to the later treaty do not include all the parties to the earlier one:
(a) as between States parties to both treaties the same rule applies as in paragraph 3;
(b) as between a State party to both treaties and a State party to only one of the treaties, the treaty to which both States are parties governs their mutual rights and obligations.
5. Paragraph 4 is without prejudice to article 41, or to any question of the termination or suspension of the operation of a treaty under article 60 or to any question of responsibility which may arise for a State from the conclusion or application of a treaty the provisions of which are incompatible with its obligations towards another State under another treaty.
At the time of this writing Turkey still has not ratified this convention.21 Armenia has and is under no obligation to recognize the Treaty of Kars or Moscow that basically resulted in the current Turkish-Armenian border. The United States ratified this convention on April 24, 1970.
Positions
Armenia is in an interesting diplomatic position at the publication of this protocol. The only item that changes anything is the physical lifting of the Turkish border blockade. Armenia should ratify this protocol without delay and put pressure on Turkey not to delay or will pay the PR consequences.
Turkey is in a situation where it has alienated its ally Azerbaijan by appearing to cut a deal with Armenia and has been making deals with Russia. It may also be under the false impression it has extracted concessions from Armenia. Turkey cannot appear overtly pan-Turkic in rhetoric in its support of Azerbaijan, as it will be used by opponents of Turkey’s EU ascension. Turkey may try to drag out the mandate of an historical commission but that has its time limits as well. Armenian diplomacy can consistently point to Turkish delay tactics.
Turkey also has an issue with ratification. Some opposition parties object to opening of the border without a resolution of the Nagorno-Karabagh conflict. Turkey might use this as an excuse to re-work the protocol, but that would come at a loss to Turkish diplomacy. Armenia can use this period to press Turkey publicly with actual preconditions if Turkish non-ratification is being used as a technique to gain concessions from Armenia. If Turkey does indeed ratify the protocol, the pro-Islamic AK party will be on the carpet to deliver the goods for Turkey. They have to end alienating Azerbaijan, not appearing too overtly helpful to Armenia while trying to convince the EU it is sincere in solving its ascension demands, and work with its new energy partner, Russia. If Turkish Foreign Minister Davutoglu, Prime Minster Erdogan, and President Gul fail to convince the Turkish public and the military that engaging Armenia using the guidelines agreed to in the protocols, there may indeed be early elections in Turkey before 2012. The AK party could be swept from power, leaving the protocol in the hands of nationalists which could face public pressure to declare it null and void.
Turkey will be in a diplomatic disadvantage if Armenia makes no errors.
Trade issues
There appears to be no official public study commissioned by the government of Armenia having as its basis a political and economic analysis demonstrating that opening the border between Armenia and Turkey will benefit anybody. Armenia may actually have an argument and not even know it. What has been stated publicly are simply guesses, usually positive, by members of the Armenian Parliament, Turkologists, “experts,” or oligarchs. An open border isn’t binary as almost all simple guesses have been based on. An “open border” may simply mean it is not totally closed and only allow products and material to traverse a limited number of hours or days a week or may mean automobile and bus traffic allowed on a weekly basis. There may never be a completely open border. It could also be completely open. This is an unknown at this time, but its answer lies at the center of the affects of an open Turkish-Armenian border on the Armenian economy.
This missing study must include a competitive analysis of all major Armenian industries covering at a minimum: management team expertise, product sales & marketing, product planning, market channels and development, government relations, cross-border transportation, international business planning, credit and banking reviews, and yes, accounting practices. One must then compare these industries with their Turkish counterparts and using Armenian and Turkish demographic buying patterns, determine the viability probability of each Armenian industry assuming free and open competition with the added affects of partial and severe protectionism. Past, current, and projected trading patterns must be evaluated. In parallel, a comparative study must be done with the only other country having a similar geo-political and economic position and that is Georgia. Such a study must determine why Georgia’s GDP is down nearly 40 percent from a year ago considering it has free and open trade with Turkey, Azerbaijan, and has many Black Sea ports.
Solid conclusions cannot be made without studies. If the studies are skewed (such as not taking into account: general corruption, influence peddling, nepotism, fraud, racketeering, graft, extortion, cartels, blackmail, potential EC-centric liability and product quality issues, engagement and exit strategies adjusting for changes in the Turkish government policies, Georgian and Iranian reaction, changes in employment patterns and the consequences of any subsequent brain drain, etc.) there is every chance of a failed evaluation. Perhaps the reason none of these studies seem to exist is because they would expose too much of Armenia’s black economy.
If history is any guide, Armenian oligarchs and those aspiring to be, may simply attempt to sell assets to Turks. An easy way to personal wealth is to replace the “headache” of producing domestic products with those made in Turkey, considering local distribution channels exist and are near monopolies. Armenians emptied out factories in the country in early and mid-nineties and sold their contents, including machines, to the Iranians. Apparently no accounting was made of those transactions.
It will be interesting to note if laws will be enacted to protect indigenous Armenian industries. Unregulated trade, combined with 90 years of Turkish experience in the mechanisms of market economics, could easily destroy Armenia’s economy and return the Armenian people to the specter of Turkish domination.
However, with Russian control of major segments of Armenia’s infrastructure, unfettered Turkish inroads into the Armenian economy will presumably be moderated. In addition, EU analysis will be watching closely over Turkish treatment of its neighbors.
David Davidian is a senior system architect at a major IT corporation engaging in technical intelligence analysis. He manages the U.S. office of RegionalKinetics.com and currently resides in Belmont, Mass.
References
1 Turkish-Armenian relations, football diplomacy, Sept. 3, 2009, http://www.economist.com/world/europe/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14380297.
2 Armenia, http://www.newnations.com/Archive/2006/June/am.html.
3 There Are Still Untapped Reserves in Armenian-Russian Friendship, http://www.panarmenian.net/news/eng/print/?nid=36647.
4 Georgian Transit Ban Hinders Russian Military Presence in Armenia, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav101008a.shtml.
5 Ankara Denies Turkey Route for Russian Base in Gumri, http://www.asbarez.com/2009/08/17/ankara-denies-turkey-route-for-russian-base-in-gumri/.
6 Armenia Confirms $500 Million Loan From Russia, http://www.rferl.org/content/Armenia_Confirms_Loan_From_Russia/1380318.html.
7 Turkish-Abkhazia Ties Test Turkey’s Strategic Partnership with Georgia, http://www.jamestown.org/programs/edm/single/?tx_ttnews%5btt_news%5d=35464&cHash=8a62793752.
8 Might Turkey be the Next Country to Recognize Abkhazia?, Paul Goble, http://georgiandaily.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=14534&Itemid=130.
9 Turkish Volunteers in Chechnya, http://www.jamestown.org/single/?no_cache=1&tx_ttnews%5btt_news%5d=300, Russia accuses Turkish NGOs of continuing aid to Chechen rebels, praises improvements in Saudi approach, http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P1-89675122.html, Russia’s “Kurdish Card” In Turkish-Russian Rivalry, http://members.internettrash.com/pkk/a-russia.html.
10 Improving Turkish-Russian Relations: Turkey’s New Foreign Policy and Its Implications for the United States, http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/templateC05.php?CID=2219.
11 Themes behind Turkey’s surprise move on Armenia, http://www.reporter.am/go/article/2009-09-04-strategy-politics-and-opportunism-.
12 Real Azerbaijan, Khronika Neobyavlennoi Katastrofi (Chronically Unannounced Catastrophe) Jan. 2, 2007, Eldar Namazov.
13 Protocol on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations between the Republic of Armenia and the Republic of Turkey, www.armenianow.com/pdf/20090831_protocol.pdf.
14 The Armenian Opening, http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/n.php?n=the-armenian-opening-2009-09-15.
15 The Applicability of the United Nations Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide to Events Which Occurred During the Early Twentieth Century–Legal Analysis Prepared for the International Center for Transitional Justice, http://www.ictj.org/images/content/7/5/759.pdf.
16 Aghjayan: In Pursuit of Justice and True Friendship, http://www.hairenik.com/weekly/2009/09/20/aghjayan-in-pursuit-of-justice-and-true-friendship/.
17 Taner Akçam: The decision will be made by politicians, not historians, http://www.reporter.am/go/article/2009-09-15-taner-ak-am-the-decision-will-be-made-by-politicians-not-historians.
18 Customary International Laws and Treaties, Mark Villiger, 1985 ISBN 90-247-2980-7. This is available at: http://books.google.com/books?id=PCoNaFd0TwgC&dq=customary+international+law+on+the+law+of+treaties&printsec=frontcover&source=bl&ots=aboOfjxNy0&sig=6muWHnnFkwNR3-_g-jRUT8K07ow&hl=en&ei=HcixSuz2M5-NtgfV_KDzBw&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=1#v=onepage&q=&f=false.
19 http://www.worldtradelaw.net/misc/viennaconvention.pdf.
20 On July 13, 2006 Armenia recorded a reservation:
Reservation“The Republic of Armenia does not consider itself bound by the provisions of article 66 of the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties and declares that for any dispute among the Contracting Parties concerning the application or the interpretation of any article of part V of the Convention to be submitted to the International Court of Justice for a decision or to the Conciliation Commission for consideration the consent of all the parties to the dispute is required in each separate case.”
21 Treaty Status of: 21-09-2009 04:03:52 EDT, http://treaties.un.org/Pages/ViewDetailsIII.aspx?&src=TREATY&mtdsg_no=XXIII~1&chapter=23&Temp=mtdsg3&lang=en.
Miguel Angel Nalpatian(1942).- Mar del Plata.- Buenos Aires.- Rca Argentina.-
jueves, 8 de octubre de 2009
Armenia: Controversia por la cobertura del genocidio en CNN
Armenia: Controversia por la cobertura del genocidio en CNN
Publicado originalmente por Simon Maghakyan
Traducido por Adriana Gutierrez · Ver post original
Vídeo
Paises:
Armenia, E.U.A., Turquía
Temas:
Últimas Noticias, Ciberactivismo, Diáspora, Etnicidad, Cine, Historia, Derechos Humanos, Indígenas, Medios, Relaciones Internacionales, Política
Idiomas:
Inglés
Muy corto para los armenios y muy largo para el gobierno turco, un documental de dos horas en CNN de Christiane Amanpour sobre el genocidio incluye una mención de 45 segundos del exterminio durante la Primera Guerra Mundial de la población de indígenas armenios por parte del Imperio Otomano. Estrenado el 4 de Diciembre del 2008, Scream Bloody Murder [Gritar por el Sangriento Asesinato] ha hecho enfurecer a muchos bloggers armenios, llevándolos a recordar la retórica para la impunidad de Hitler, “¿Quién, después de todo, recuerda a los armenios?”
La blogger residente en Armenia, fotógrafa y diseñadora Arsineh se había preocupado incluso antes de ver el documental. Al escribir en Ars Eye View, ella dice:
[…]
Me preparo para ver el programa por mí misma, pero dada la cantidad de información previa, tengo que preguntar. Si van a cubrir la epidemia del genocidio, comenzando con la campaña para criminalizarlo, sigan al mostrar la lucha que muchos han sufrido (como titularon su programa) al “GRITAR POR EL SANGRIENTO ASESINATO” mientras el mundo se volvía sordo sólo para permitir que el genocidio continúe en todo el mundo, ¿no deberían estar hablando acerca del mayor genocidio cubierto, el que inspiró a Lemkin a acuñar la palabra, el que también inspiró a Adolf Hitler a seguir con el Holocausto? Después de todo, es esta negación la que asusta a CNN hasta de usar la palabra “Genocidio” en sus reportes de temas relacionados.
[…]
Ella también publica una pregunta en video a CNN:
Escribiendo en detalle, West of Igdir dice que un lanzamiento previo de CNN a la prensa sugirió que la cobertura del Genocidio Armenio iba a ser más intensa:
[…]
El lanzamiento mencionaba específicamente que Armenia, como uno de los casos de genocidio, sería examinado. Esto naturalmente creó algo de excitación, que finalmente una organización principal de noticias estaría dedicando un programa parcialmente al a menudo ignorado Genocidio Armenio de 1915 e informaría a la audiencia mundial acerca de él.
[…]
He sentido algo de esperanza acerca del documental y pude haber dejado pasar más la omisión hasta que vi este mapa interactivo sobre la sección de Scream Bloody Murder en el sitio web de CNN acerca de los campos de asesinato en el mundo. Parece que a pesar del hecho de haber estado anunciando que Armenia era prominentemente mencionada como uno de los ejemplos de genocidio que sería cubierto, fue pasado por alto de ser señalado en el mapa interactivo como un ejemplo de genocidio.
[..]
Claramente, el documental no pasó desapercibido en Turquía, a pesar del hecho que no dice casi nada acerca del Genocidio Armenio, tal y como el diario turco Hurriyet declaró ayer “Preocupante presentación del Genocidio”.
[…]
Sevana en Life in the Armenian Diaspora también está descontenta:
¿Cuándo terminará este estatus de víctimas de genocidio de segunda clase? Creo que CNN teme que CNN-Turquía los sacarán del aire si incluyen a los armenios… muy, muy triste.
Otra voz de la diáspora, Seta’s Armenian Blog publica una acción de alerta del Comité Nacional Armenio de América para protestar por la casi exclusión de CNN del Genocidio Armenio.
Docenas de usuarios del iReport de CNN también han reaccionado al documental al publicar comentarios sobre la página de Christiane Amanpour, la mayoría condenando la poca mención del Genocidio Armenio.
Un usuario escribe:
[…] Es desafortunado que aún hoy, el Genocidio, Limpieza Étnica, o cualquier término nuevo que se utilice para estos actos, siga sucediendo y hasta ahora no se haya hecho realmente nada para detenerlo. Hitler una vez dijo (refiriéndose al Genocidio Armenio) “¿Quién recuerda a los armenios?”…y aún así, sigo esperando que alguien responda esa pregunta. Creí que sería respondida en “Scream Bloody Murder”, pero no fue así, y de nuevo la pregunta sigue sin ser contestada…
That's Sprezzatura está furioso, no sólo por la corta mención de los armenios sino también porque no hubo mención para Henry Morgenthau, el Embajador de los Estados Unidos en el Imperio Otomano en ese momento:
[…]
Amanpour, por el poder de la cámara y el micrófono, sopló vida a las voces que gritan de los activistas olvidados, y merecidamente amplificó los llamados de “asesinato sangriento” a la moral de unos pocos, como: Eli Wiesel, Padre Francois Ponchaud, Peter Galbraith, Richard Holbrook, Romeo Dallaire y otros héroes olvidados, pero Amanpour escogió el silencio de los muertos en lugar de los gritos de Henry Morgenthau, el Embajador de los Estados Unidos en el Imperio Otómano al momento del Genocidio Armenio -Morgenthau también gritó por el ‘asesinato sangriento'. Dale a ese honorable hombre algo de crédito y al 1,5 millones de víctimas armenias algo de respeto.
[…]
Además, el blog llama al documental “Bloody Shame Whisper” [Susurro de Sangrienta Vergüenza].
Vergüenza a los ojos de muchos armenios, sin embargo, hasta la más mínima mención del genocidio durante la Primera Guerra Mundial, ha enfurecido a los nacionalistas turcos. El blog de la Coalición Turca de América, por ejemplo, publica videos en YouTube de Bruce Fein, un conservador abogado de Harvard de fuertes vínculos con Turquía, retando la inclusión de CNN del Genocidio Armenio en el documental.
Adicionalmente, el blog de The New York Turkish Times publica una acción de alerta, aparentemente una carta que envió una organización turca a CNN antes de la transmisión, pidiendo a los seguidores que la firmen, la cual dice que “condena[n] a CNN por su decisión de trasmitir el reporte especial de dos horas titulado ‘Screamed [sic] Bloody Murder' que incluirá una discusión acerca del ‘llamado Genocidio Armenio', el 4 de Diciembre del 2008”:
[…]
Genocidio es un término legal. Los únicos genocidios legalmente reconocidos son el Holocausto y el Genocidio Ruandés. ¿Cómo puede la corresponsal internacional de CNN, Christiane Amanpour, criminalizar la negación de un supuesto genocidio que no existe legal ni históricamente? Como probablemente pueden saberlo, de acuerdo al Artículo 2 de la Convención de las Naciones Unidas sobre el Genocidio, de 1948, “debe haber una intención de eliminar a una raza o grupo étnico…”
Ya que hay una ley internacional clara para el término de genocidio, por qué los armenios no llevan el supuesto caso a una corte internacional.
[…]
Puedo asegurarles que la transmisión de este “supuesto” documental resultará en una pérdida sustancial de apoyo de los espectadores de CNN. Como Presidente de la FTAA [Federación de las Asociaciones Turco-Americanas], los insto a no aprobar la transmisión de “Screamed [sic] Bloody Murder” que planean hacer el 4 de Diciembre.
Miguel Angel Nalpatian(1942).- Mar del Plata.- Buenos Aires.- Rca Argentina.-
.
Publicado originalmente por Simon Maghakyan
Traducido por Adriana Gutierrez · Ver post original
Vídeo
Paises:
Armenia, E.U.A., Turquía
Temas:
Últimas Noticias, Ciberactivismo, Diáspora, Etnicidad, Cine, Historia, Derechos Humanos, Indígenas, Medios, Relaciones Internacionales, Política
Idiomas:
Inglés
Muy corto para los armenios y muy largo para el gobierno turco, un documental de dos horas en CNN de Christiane Amanpour sobre el genocidio incluye una mención de 45 segundos del exterminio durante la Primera Guerra Mundial de la población de indígenas armenios por parte del Imperio Otomano. Estrenado el 4 de Diciembre del 2008, Scream Bloody Murder [Gritar por el Sangriento Asesinato] ha hecho enfurecer a muchos bloggers armenios, llevándolos a recordar la retórica para la impunidad de Hitler, “¿Quién, después de todo, recuerda a los armenios?”
La blogger residente en Armenia, fotógrafa y diseñadora Arsineh se había preocupado incluso antes de ver el documental. Al escribir en Ars Eye View, ella dice:
[…]
Me preparo para ver el programa por mí misma, pero dada la cantidad de información previa, tengo que preguntar. Si van a cubrir la epidemia del genocidio, comenzando con la campaña para criminalizarlo, sigan al mostrar la lucha que muchos han sufrido (como titularon su programa) al “GRITAR POR EL SANGRIENTO ASESINATO” mientras el mundo se volvía sordo sólo para permitir que el genocidio continúe en todo el mundo, ¿no deberían estar hablando acerca del mayor genocidio cubierto, el que inspiró a Lemkin a acuñar la palabra, el que también inspiró a Adolf Hitler a seguir con el Holocausto? Después de todo, es esta negación la que asusta a CNN hasta de usar la palabra “Genocidio” en sus reportes de temas relacionados.
[…]
Ella también publica una pregunta en video a CNN:
Escribiendo en detalle, West of Igdir dice que un lanzamiento previo de CNN a la prensa sugirió que la cobertura del Genocidio Armenio iba a ser más intensa:
[…]
El lanzamiento mencionaba específicamente que Armenia, como uno de los casos de genocidio, sería examinado. Esto naturalmente creó algo de excitación, que finalmente una organización principal de noticias estaría dedicando un programa parcialmente al a menudo ignorado Genocidio Armenio de 1915 e informaría a la audiencia mundial acerca de él.
[…]
He sentido algo de esperanza acerca del documental y pude haber dejado pasar más la omisión hasta que vi este mapa interactivo sobre la sección de Scream Bloody Murder en el sitio web de CNN acerca de los campos de asesinato en el mundo. Parece que a pesar del hecho de haber estado anunciando que Armenia era prominentemente mencionada como uno de los ejemplos de genocidio que sería cubierto, fue pasado por alto de ser señalado en el mapa interactivo como un ejemplo de genocidio.
[..]
Claramente, el documental no pasó desapercibido en Turquía, a pesar del hecho que no dice casi nada acerca del Genocidio Armenio, tal y como el diario turco Hurriyet declaró ayer “Preocupante presentación del Genocidio”.
[…]
Sevana en Life in the Armenian Diaspora también está descontenta:
¿Cuándo terminará este estatus de víctimas de genocidio de segunda clase? Creo que CNN teme que CNN-Turquía los sacarán del aire si incluyen a los armenios… muy, muy triste.
Otra voz de la diáspora, Seta’s Armenian Blog publica una acción de alerta del Comité Nacional Armenio de América para protestar por la casi exclusión de CNN del Genocidio Armenio.
Docenas de usuarios del iReport de CNN también han reaccionado al documental al publicar comentarios sobre la página de Christiane Amanpour, la mayoría condenando la poca mención del Genocidio Armenio.
Un usuario escribe:
[…] Es desafortunado que aún hoy, el Genocidio, Limpieza Étnica, o cualquier término nuevo que se utilice para estos actos, siga sucediendo y hasta ahora no se haya hecho realmente nada para detenerlo. Hitler una vez dijo (refiriéndose al Genocidio Armenio) “¿Quién recuerda a los armenios?”…y aún así, sigo esperando que alguien responda esa pregunta. Creí que sería respondida en “Scream Bloody Murder”, pero no fue así, y de nuevo la pregunta sigue sin ser contestada…
That's Sprezzatura está furioso, no sólo por la corta mención de los armenios sino también porque no hubo mención para Henry Morgenthau, el Embajador de los Estados Unidos en el Imperio Otomano en ese momento:
[…]
Amanpour, por el poder de la cámara y el micrófono, sopló vida a las voces que gritan de los activistas olvidados, y merecidamente amplificó los llamados de “asesinato sangriento” a la moral de unos pocos, como: Eli Wiesel, Padre Francois Ponchaud, Peter Galbraith, Richard Holbrook, Romeo Dallaire y otros héroes olvidados, pero Amanpour escogió el silencio de los muertos en lugar de los gritos de Henry Morgenthau, el Embajador de los Estados Unidos en el Imperio Otómano al momento del Genocidio Armenio -Morgenthau también gritó por el ‘asesinato sangriento'. Dale a ese honorable hombre algo de crédito y al 1,5 millones de víctimas armenias algo de respeto.
[…]
Además, el blog llama al documental “Bloody Shame Whisper” [Susurro de Sangrienta Vergüenza].
Vergüenza a los ojos de muchos armenios, sin embargo, hasta la más mínima mención del genocidio durante la Primera Guerra Mundial, ha enfurecido a los nacionalistas turcos. El blog de la Coalición Turca de América, por ejemplo, publica videos en YouTube de Bruce Fein, un conservador abogado de Harvard de fuertes vínculos con Turquía, retando la inclusión de CNN del Genocidio Armenio en el documental.
Adicionalmente, el blog de The New York Turkish Times publica una acción de alerta, aparentemente una carta que envió una organización turca a CNN antes de la transmisión, pidiendo a los seguidores que la firmen, la cual dice que “condena[n] a CNN por su decisión de trasmitir el reporte especial de dos horas titulado ‘Screamed [sic] Bloody Murder' que incluirá una discusión acerca del ‘llamado Genocidio Armenio', el 4 de Diciembre del 2008”:
[…]
Genocidio es un término legal. Los únicos genocidios legalmente reconocidos son el Holocausto y el Genocidio Ruandés. ¿Cómo puede la corresponsal internacional de CNN, Christiane Amanpour, criminalizar la negación de un supuesto genocidio que no existe legal ni históricamente? Como probablemente pueden saberlo, de acuerdo al Artículo 2 de la Convención de las Naciones Unidas sobre el Genocidio, de 1948, “debe haber una intención de eliminar a una raza o grupo étnico…”
Ya que hay una ley internacional clara para el término de genocidio, por qué los armenios no llevan el supuesto caso a una corte internacional.
[…]
Puedo asegurarles que la transmisión de este “supuesto” documental resultará en una pérdida sustancial de apoyo de los espectadores de CNN. Como Presidente de la FTAA [Federación de las Asociaciones Turco-Americanas], los insto a no aprobar la transmisión de “Screamed [sic] Bloody Murder” que planean hacer el 4 de Diciembre.
Miguel Angel Nalpatian(1942).- Mar del Plata.- Buenos Aires.- Rca Argentina.-
.
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